FL St. Pete Polls - Biden+1
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 13, 2025, 06:47:10 PM
News: Election Calculator 3.0 with county/house maps is now live. For more info, click here

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  FL St. Pete Polls - Biden+1		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: FL St. Pete Polls - Biden+1  (Read 3753 times)
ajc0918
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,298
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: May 28, 2020, 09:37:19 AM »


Link: http://stpetepolls.org/files/StPetePolls_2020_State_President-Gen_May27_M17DA.pdf
Logged
SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,796
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: May 28, 2020, 09:43:51 AM »
Tilt R based on Florida notoriously under polling Republicans.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,300


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: May 28, 2020, 09:49:09 AM »
For reference, they had this tied, 48-48 back in April
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,814
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: May 28, 2020, 09:54:11 AM »
Quote from: SN2903 on May 28, 2020, 09:43:51 AM
Tilt R based on Florida notoriously under polling Republicans.

Still confirms the trendline against Trump over recent weeks, as his #s overall decline. FL is a pure tossup, even if all recent FL polls slightly overrated Dems.
Logged
Mr.Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 98,484
Jamaica


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: May 28, 2020, 09:55:13 AM »
Good news
Logged
Gass3268
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,511
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: May 28, 2020, 09:56:32 AM »
Biden surging
Logged
SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,796
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: May 28, 2020, 11:42:45 AM »
How?
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,655
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: May 28, 2020, 11:43:11 AM »
Titanium Tilt D!
Logged
Mr.Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 98,484
Jamaica


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: May 28, 2020, 11:54:17 AM »

Again, Dems have been leading in 9/10 polls in AZ, NC and FL

Trump has won 1 poll in FL, and 0 polls in AZ and  Tillis has only won 1 poll in NC
Logged
Arizona Iced Tea
Minute Maid Juice
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,271


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: May 28, 2020, 12:00:01 PM »
https://strehlspresidentialelection2016.wordpress.com/
This website "weighs" the polls by party id and stuff, but take it with a grain of salt cause they have a Trump sign on the white house.

Trump is leading 2.5 points when weighed though
Logged
JRP1994
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340


P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: May 28, 2020, 12:05:09 PM »
Quote from: SN2903 on May 28, 2020, 09:43:51 AM
Tilt R based on Florida notoriously under polling Republicans.

Not in 2012 or 2008. 2012 RCP had Romney up more than 1% in the final average
Logged
The Mikado
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,185


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: May 28, 2020, 12:05:20 PM »
Can we just say "It's all tied up in Florida" rather than try to dig through the entrails of this?

FL is important, of course, as the silver bullet. If Dems win FL, that's basically game over. FL is a state Dems should never rely on, but it's definitely worth keeping an eye on.
Logged
Nyvin
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,039
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: May 28, 2020, 01:25:38 PM »
Quote from: JRP1994 on May 28, 2020, 12:05:09 PM
Quote from: SN2903 on May 28, 2020, 09:43:51 AM
Tilt R based on Florida notoriously under polling Republicans.

Not in 2012 or 2008. 2012 RCP had Romney up more than 1% in the final average


Even in 2016, the difference between the final result and the RCP average is only 0.8% more D,  hardly game changing.   No state is precise every election.
Logged
Podgy the Bear
mollybecky
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,227


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: May 28, 2020, 01:29:41 PM »
Continues to be encouraging--keeping Trump and the Republicans on the defensive and spending resources for as long as possible.
Logged
ProudModerate2
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,549
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: May 28, 2020, 01:43:52 PM »
Love it.
At minimum it's a tossup state for Biden. I think the Dems can win it in 2020.
Logged
Mr.Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 98,484
Jamaica


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: May 28, 2020, 02:09:30 PM »
It's not a Tilt Trump state, Trump has lost every poll in FL, I havent seen a recent poll he has lead in FL, including FL University poll Biden plus 6
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,417
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: May 28, 2020, 06:35:36 PM »
It's at least a more reasonable Biden lead compared to those that had him up by mid single digits.

I hate to admit it but this state really might be a tossup...my dad lives here and considering how much even his one vote matters I am going to try my damnedest to get him to vote for Biden.
Logged
SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,796
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: May 28, 2020, 10:38:34 PM »
Quote from: JRP1994 on May 28, 2020, 12:05:09 PM
Quote from: SN2903 on May 28, 2020, 09:43:51 AM
Tilt R based on Florida notoriously under polling Republicans.

Not in 2012 or 2008. 2012 RCP had Romney up more than 1% in the final average
This isn't 2012 and Joe isn't Obama
Logged
South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,440


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: May 28, 2020, 10:49:23 PM »
Quote from: SN2903 on May 28, 2020, 10:38:34 PM
Quote from: JRP1994 on May 28, 2020, 12:05:09 PM
Quote from: SN2903 on May 28, 2020, 09:43:51 AM
Tilt R based on Florida notoriously under polling Republicans.

Not in 2012 or 2008. 2012 RCP had Romney up more than 1% in the final average
This isn't 2012 and Joe isn't Obama

Okay Mr. Obvious Facts Guy.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,849


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: May 29, 2020, 06:15:09 AM »
Quote from: SN2903 on May 28, 2020, 10:38:34 PM
Quote from: JRP1994 on May 28, 2020, 12:05:09 PM
Quote from: SN2903 on May 28, 2020, 09:43:51 AM
Tilt R based on Florida notoriously under polling Republicans.

Not in 2012 or 2008. 2012 RCP had Romney up more than 1% in the final average
This isn't 2012 and Joe isn't Obama

Says the guy who responds to every poll as if it’s 2016 and Joe is Hillary Clinton.
Logged
Mr.Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 98,484
Jamaica


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: May 29, 2020, 07:06:29 AM »
Quote from: SN2903 on May 28, 2020, 10:38:34 PM
Quote from: JRP1994 on May 28, 2020, 12:05:09 PM
Quote from: SN2903 on May 28, 2020, 09:43:51 AM
Tilt R based on Florida notoriously under polling Republicans.

Not in 2012 or 2008. 2012 RCP had Romney up more than 1% in the final average
This isn't 2012 and Joe isn't Obama

And Trump isn't 2016 either, 3 lawyers are in jail for corruption of Russia campaign finance laws and hijacking the DNC and Hilary emails🤩🤩🤩
Logged
woodley park
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 793


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: May 29, 2020, 07:32:25 AM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on May 28, 2020, 06:35:36 PM
It's at least a more reasonable Biden lead compared to those that had him up by mid single digits.

I hate to admit it but this state really might be a tossup...my dad lives here and considering how much even his one vote matters I am going to try my damnedest to get him to vote for Biden.

Don't worry, Florida is and was always going to be a toss-up. I would start worrying if it starts looking like Trump +5. I have a hard time seeing Florida go from toss-up to lean Trump so long as COVID continues to decimate our population and economy.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Global Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,665


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: May 30, 2020, 06:45:06 PM »
« Edited: June 04, 2020, 02:11:02 PM by Senator YE »
Here's an interesting set of numbers:
Logged
Ferguson97
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,098
Canada


P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: May 30, 2020, 07:09:31 PM »
« Edited: June 04, 2020, 02:11:32 PM by Senator YE »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on May 30, 2020, 06:45:06 PM
Here's an interesting set of numbers:



Damn, that's 350+ EV numbers.
Logged
Mr.Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 98,484
Jamaica


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: May 30, 2020, 07:35:00 PM »
Also, if Hilary was the nominee in 2008, instead of 2016, if Obama didnt defeat Hilary in primary, she would have won the Prez election in 2008. 2016, she had Benghazi
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.053 seconds with 10 queries.