FL St. Pete Polls - Biden+1
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  FL St. Pete Polls - Biden+1
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Author Topic: FL St. Pete Polls - Biden+1  (Read 3028 times)
ajc0918
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« on: May 28, 2020, 09:37:19 AM »



Link: http://stpetepolls.org/files/StPetePolls_2020_State_President-Gen_May27_M17DA.pdf
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SN2903
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« Reply #1 on: May 28, 2020, 09:43:51 AM »

Tilt R based on Florida notoriously under polling Republicans.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2 on: May 28, 2020, 09:49:09 AM »

For reference, they had this tied, 48-48 back in April
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #3 on: May 28, 2020, 09:54:11 AM »

Tilt R based on Florida notoriously under polling Republicans.

Still confirms the trendline against Trump over recent weeks, as his #s overall decline. FL is a pure tossup, even if all recent FL polls slightly overrated Dems.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #4 on: May 28, 2020, 09:55:13 AM »

Good news
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: May 28, 2020, 09:56:32 AM »

Biden surging
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SN2903
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« Reply #6 on: May 28, 2020, 11:42:45 AM »

How?
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #7 on: May 28, 2020, 11:43:11 AM »

Titanium Tilt D!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #8 on: May 28, 2020, 11:54:17 AM »


Again, Dems have been leading in 9/10 polls in AZ, NC and FL

Trump has won 1 poll in FL, and 0 polls in AZ and  Tillis has only won 1 poll in NC
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #9 on: May 28, 2020, 12:00:01 PM »

https://strehlspresidentialelection2016.wordpress.com/
This website "weighs" the polls by party id and stuff, but take it with a grain of salt cause they have a Trump sign on the white house.

Trump is leading 2.5 points when weighed though
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JRP1994
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« Reply #10 on: May 28, 2020, 12:05:09 PM »

Tilt R based on Florida notoriously under polling Republicans.

Not in 2012 or 2008. 2012 RCP had Romney up more than 1% in the final average
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The Mikado
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« Reply #11 on: May 28, 2020, 12:05:20 PM »

Can we just say "It's all tied up in Florida" rather than try to dig through the entrails of this?

FL is important, of course, as the silver bullet. If Dems win FL, that's basically game over. FL is a state Dems should never rely on, but it's definitely worth keeping an eye on.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #12 on: May 28, 2020, 01:25:38 PM »

Tilt R based on Florida notoriously under polling Republicans.

Not in 2012 or 2008. 2012 RCP had Romney up more than 1% in the final average


Even in 2016, the difference between the final result and the RCP average is only 0.8% more D,  hardly game changing.   No state is precise every election.
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Podgy the Bear
mollybecky
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« Reply #13 on: May 28, 2020, 01:29:41 PM »

Continues to be encouraging--keeping Trump and the Republicans on the defensive and spending resources for as long as possible.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #14 on: May 28, 2020, 01:43:52 PM »

Love it.
At minimum it's a tossup state for Biden. I think the Dems can win it in 2020.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #15 on: May 28, 2020, 02:09:30 PM »

It's not a Tilt Trump state, Trump has lost every poll in FL, I havent seen a recent poll he has lead in FL, including FL University poll Biden plus 6
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #16 on: May 28, 2020, 06:35:36 PM »

It's at least a more reasonable Biden lead compared to those that had him up by mid single digits.

I hate to admit it but this state really might be a tossup...my dad lives here and considering how much even his one vote matters I am going to try my damnedest to get him to vote for Biden.
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SN2903
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« Reply #17 on: May 28, 2020, 10:38:34 PM »

Tilt R based on Florida notoriously under polling Republicans.

Not in 2012 or 2008. 2012 RCP had Romney up more than 1% in the final average
This isn't 2012 and Joe isn't Obama
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #18 on: May 28, 2020, 10:49:23 PM »

Tilt R based on Florida notoriously under polling Republicans.

Not in 2012 or 2008. 2012 RCP had Romney up more than 1% in the final average
This isn't 2012 and Joe isn't Obama

Okay Mr. Obvious Facts Guy.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #19 on: May 29, 2020, 06:15:09 AM »

Tilt R based on Florida notoriously under polling Republicans.

Not in 2012 or 2008. 2012 RCP had Romney up more than 1% in the final average
This isn't 2012 and Joe isn't Obama

Says the guy who responds to every poll as if it’s 2016 and Joe is Hillary Clinton.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #20 on: May 29, 2020, 07:06:29 AM »

Tilt R based on Florida notoriously under polling Republicans.

Not in 2012 or 2008. 2012 RCP had Romney up more than 1% in the final average
This isn't 2012 and Joe isn't Obama

And Trump isn't 2016 either, 3 lawyers are in jail for corruption of Russia campaign finance laws and hijacking the DNC and Hilary emails🤩🤩🤩
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woodley park
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« Reply #21 on: May 29, 2020, 07:32:25 AM »

It's at least a more reasonable Biden lead compared to those that had him up by mid single digits.

I hate to admit it but this state really might be a tossup...my dad lives here and considering how much even his one vote matters I am going to try my damnedest to get him to vote for Biden.

Don't worry, Florida is and was always going to be a toss-up. I would start worrying if it starts looking like Trump +5. I have a hard time seeing Florida go from toss-up to lean Trump so long as COVID continues to decimate our population and economy.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #22 on: May 30, 2020, 06:45:06 PM »
« Edited: June 04, 2020, 02:11:02 PM by Senator YE »

Here's an interesting set of numbers:

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Ferguson97
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« Reply #23 on: May 30, 2020, 07:09:31 PM »
« Edited: June 04, 2020, 02:11:32 PM by Senator YE »

Here's an interesting set of numbers:



Damn, that's 350+ EV numbers.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #24 on: May 30, 2020, 07:35:00 PM »

Also, if Hilary was the nominee in 2008, instead of 2016, if Obama didnt defeat Hilary in primary, she would have won the Prez election in 2008. 2016, she had Benghazi
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