Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,400
Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
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« on: May 28, 2020, 08:05:52 AM » |
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Huh. I guess I never realized that since 1972, the Democrats have only won TWO counties in elections for Maine's Senate Seat I (both were in 1996).
Anyway, while I would normally say "it's too far out to glean much from this poll", Maine is a special animal.
If this poll was in, say, Arizona or even North Carolina, I would be wary. But Collins' past election performances demonstrate that there was a non-negligible cohort of Democratic Presidential candidate/Susan Collins voters. I can't see that being the case (or, at least, to such a large effect) in 2020. If a voter is not willing to vote for Collins now, it's unlikely IMO that he or she will warm up to Miss Collins between now and November, especially on Trump's coattails ("You know? I was going to vote for Gideon, but since I'm voting for Trump, I'm going to vote for Collins.")
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