MT Progress Campaign- Bullock +3
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  MT Progress Campaign- Bullock +3
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Author Topic: MT Progress Campaign- Bullock +3  (Read 2706 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,645
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #25 on: May 30, 2020, 01:51:44 PM »

Bullock will win
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Harvey Updyke Jr🌹
jtsmd2
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 569
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.65, S: -7.22

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« Reply #26 on: June 02, 2020, 12:18:13 AM »

All of their MT numbers (not just for SEN but also for GOV and PRES) are entirely (and surprisingly) believable, so I wouldn’t be too quick to assume that this is a fake pollster.

This means nothing.  It just means they're not completely incompetent.
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Harvey Updyke Jr🌹
jtsmd2
Jr. Member
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Posts: 569
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.65, S: -7.22

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« Reply #27 on: June 02, 2020, 12:20:43 AM »

This pollster has been banned by Shook Nate over at 538.  They don't do that unless there's a history of faked / made up data.

They insist they're being vetted rn (538 only has 2 polls listed for them) and have embargoed their Georgia survey until they get through vetting. However, with no word from 538 and no concrete timescale, we should assume they're probably fake (I won't be posting any more of their polls here until there's an update on the matter from another credible source).

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

Sort it by "Banned by 538."  Our Progress (The Progress Campaign). F grade. X.

edit:  I'll try and reach out to Shook Nate or whichever unpaid intern answers their emails and ask about their suspicions.  I'm just some random internet guy though so don't expect anything.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,645
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #28 on: June 02, 2020, 05:50:27 AM »

Keep in mind, alot of these polls that come out are fundraising polls, polls that want voters to donate to their campaign, like this one in MT. Donations are down and Ds want to get the numbers boost back up
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #29 on: June 02, 2020, 06:05:14 AM »

All of their MT numbers (not just for SEN but also for GOV and PRES) are entirely (and surprisingly) believable, so I wouldn’t be too quick to assume that this is a fake pollster.

Same. Their website is filled with a lot of data. Seems like a lot of work just to be a faker. Their methodology though maybe needs work though, and that's why 538 has them banned right now.
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