BLM riots delivering Minnesota to Trump?

[Asker]

We already saw in 2016 that places that are close to BLM riots saw heavy swings towards Trump, especially among white working class voters. Missouri, where the movement started, is the most glaring example. Trump won it by 18.5, doubling Romney's margin because his tough on crime message resonated with working class whites scared of those riots leading to a spiral of violence. There hasn't been any polling about Americans views of BLM since 2017, as they have been very quiet since but last time 43% had a favorable view and 57% had an unfavorable view. The riots could be a massive liability for Biden in the midwest/rust belt and deliver Minnesota to Trump, not to mention making Biden's task of winning neighboring Wisconsin and the electoral college as well way harder.

[Asker]

Missouri also hasn't voted for the Democratic nominee for President in 24 years.

BLM didn't make Hillary lose Missouri but it made her lose it by nearly 20 points. Minnesota was ever so slightly to the right of the popular vote so a flip with Trump running up the score with rural whites concerned about blm is very possible.