SC-Civiqs: TIE (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 07:01:00 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 Senate & House Election Polls
  SC-Civiqs: TIE (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: SC-Civiqs: TIE  (Read 2635 times)
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,736


« on: May 27, 2020, 10:26:24 AM »

There's a lot of undecideds here, for sure, but Graham being tied with Harrison is pretty horrific for him.

I'm probably one of the only people who is on board with sending $$$ to Harrison. Sure, support all the other Dems in senate races who really need it - but why not send a few $ to Harrison? He seems like our best bet to do *something* to try and win this seat, so why not try?

Judging by this poll, Graham clearly has a chunk who lean R but aren't fully there yet. And for an incumbent, that's not good.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,736


« Reply #1 on: May 27, 2020, 10:29:05 AM »

Favorables:

Lindsey Graham: 35/56 (-21)
Jaime Harrison: 35/28 (+7)

Tim Scott: 48/30 (+18)
Henry McMaster: 42/38 (+4)
Nikki Haley: 56/33 (+23)

Donald Trump: 51/47 (+4)
Joe Biden: 35/59 (-24)

The fact that Graham's favorables are where they are shows something IMO. And South Carolina is not a titanium R state, either.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,736


« Reply #2 on: May 27, 2020, 10:59:45 AM »

A lot of the undecided vote actually comes from Independents, who have a largely unfavorable view of Graham

Democrats: 92% Harrison, 3% Graham, 1% someone else, 3% unsure (4% total other)
Republicans: 78% Graham, 5% Harrison, 11% someone else, 6% unsure (17% total other)
Independents: 46% Harrison, 28% Graham, 16% someone else, 10% unsure (26% total other)

Lindsey Graham fav among Indies: 21/68 (-47)
Lindsey Graham fav among Rs: 66/22 (+44)

Not to mention, Graham has a considerable 22% unfavorable rating among Republicans, so not necessarily all of them will go to him. Only 6% are unsure, 11% want someone else.

If a majority of Independents break for Harrison, and Rs somewhat come home for Graham, it's still a race worth watching.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.019 seconds with 13 queries.