Can you stop being a hack all the time?? This is an outlier, but you make an entire thread about it anyway. You nonstop emphasize anything that shows Biden as strong and downplay anything that would suggest he's not as strong as you think.
This coming from ElectionsSpreadsheet:
A 400 person sample poll where Maricopa is supposedly 10 points to the left of the state (which means Pima County has to be Trump-leaning, doesn't make sense) should be taken with a grain of salt.
We should just ignore this pollster. I don't know how a 7.4% margin of error is even allowable or why a likely voter screen makes the sample 5 points more friendly to Biden. Not reliable, hopefully should throw cold water over the whole "it's a Republican pollster so it must be even worse for Trump" point that I hear all the time.
Republicans on March 3rd got a 61/39 split of the primary vote with a contested Dem primary and an uncontested R primary and yet I'm supposed to believe this state is close. I don't know what these people are doing but this will probably go down as the worst pollster of 2020.
Quinnipiac has a serious issue oversampling white liberals. A lot of pollsters do actually, but Quinnipiac seems notorious for it. Doing some quick math the majority of the white sample is college-educated (53/47) when in 2018 it was 43/57, and 2020 will probably be even less given it's a presidential election. Among other things, their gender gap is also insane. Biden is leading white women by the same 11 points he is overall. Just laughable all around.
Given their history, we should treat Q by shaving 5 points off their D margin.
This is garbage polling. According to this poll...
Biden does better among men than women, does better among older voters (55+) than younger voters, wins 12% of Republicans and 60% of independents. Completely ridiculous even for Arizona. Part of the reason why it's so bad is it's 51% college-educated when the 2018 electorate was only 37%.
CNN is just junk. They had Biden up 11 here last time, which was never realistic. Obviously, battlegrounds are not voting 12 points to the right of the country. At that point, you'd have to call them a Likely R group of states.
Some of these crosstabs are downright bizarre. The poll overall looks okay, but no way this huge Biden lead with seniors holds like it is now. The numbers with whites and independents would suggest something more along the lines of Baldwin's victory rather than Ever's too, so I'm surprised the poll is as Trump-friendly as it is.
What's the difference between you and SN29031488420 again?
