Meeting Street Insights (R)-NC: tie

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://cprnc.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/NC-Statewide-Survey-May-2020-Crosstabs-For-Release-v4.pdf

500 registered voters
Sampling period: May 9-13

Biden 47%
Trump 47%
Undecided 6%

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Biden - 45
Trump - 45
Undecided - 6

500 RV, Conducted May 9-13
https://cprnc.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/NC-Statewide-Survey-May-2020-Crosstabs-For-Release-v4.pdf

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Isn’t this a GOP internal?

[Landslide Lyndon]

Is Meeting Streets a cousin of Neighborhood Research?

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Isn’t this a GOP internal?

Yes

[Bidenworth2020]

Some interesting notes about this poll--

Trump Approval is 48/46, and his approval on handling the virus is 51/46. This means that Trump is underperforming his approval, and Biden is actually winning over voters who are either neutral on or approve of Trump.

Looking at favorability numbers of each candidate, we see that Biden's are actually lower than Trump's-- something we also saw in the Georgia poll from a few days ago too.

Biden 42/48
Trump 45/49

Even more interestingly, we see Biden's unique weaknesses and strengths on display in his favorability numbers. Biden is underwater at 39/50 with voters 18-34, but slightly above water with voters 65 and older at 46/45.

This also reflected in the horserace numbers, where Biden leads among those 18-34 but only 47-26. Considering Trump's approval rating with this group is at 30/62 and this group has far more undecideds than any other, it is likely that Biden has more upside among the undecideds.

[wbrocks67]

Some interesting notes about this poll--

Trump Approval is 48/46, and his approval on handling the virus is 51/46. This means that Trump is underperforming his approval, and Biden is actually winning over voters who are either neutral on or approve of Trump.

Looking at favorability numbers of each candidate, we see that Biden's are actually lower than Trump's-- something we also saw in the Georgia poll from a few days ago too.

Biden 42/48
Trump 45/49

Even more interestingly, we see Biden's unique weaknesses and strengths on display in his favorability numbers. Biden is underwater at 39/50 with voters 18-34, but slightly above water with voters 65 and older at 46/45.

This also reflected in the horserace numbers, where Biden leads among those 18-34 but only 47-26. Considering Trump's approval rating with this group is at 30/62 and this group has far more undecideds than any other, it is likely that Biden has more upside among the undecideds.

Yeah, Biden's favs are kind of misleading right now because you have a good chunk of the 18-34 segment that will largely still vote for Biden but are still upset that Bernie lost and see Biden "unfavorably"

[wbrocks67]

If this is the best an R internal can do...

[wbrocks67]

WAIT this poll has trump's coronavirus approval at +6. If anything, this is really underselling Biden/Cunnginham

[n1240]

What is the evidence this poll is a GOP internal? As far as I can see it was conducted for a conservative organization, but that doesn't necessarily make it a GOP internal in my opinion, but there still may be some inherent bias.

[wbrocks67]

What is the evidence this poll is a GOP internal? As far as I can see it was conducted for a conservative organization, but that doesn't necessarily make it a GOP internal in my opinion, but there still may be some inherent bias.

Trumo's coronavirus approval is +6. I think that says everything, when he's near -15 nationwide on that.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I'll take another tie here.

[TarHeelDem]

This is the epitome of a Tilt D race.

[ProudModerate2]

Yes.
Combined with the others, we have about a Tossup situation here in NC.
This puts trump more on having to play a defense game across the entire map, rather than attacking new states to win.