Voters Are Starting To Doubt Trump’s Reelection Chances

[pppolitics]

For months now, President Trump has trailed Joe Biden in the polls. First, it was only a 5- or 6-percentage-point gap, but since the middle of June, that margin has widened to anywhere from 8 to 9 points, according to FiveThirtyEight’s national polling average.

But until very recently, voters didn’t seem all that convinced that Biden could win. In poll after poll, comparatively more voters said they thought Trump would win reelection in November. Now, though, that view may be shifting.

Over the past two and a half months, the share of voters who said they expect Trump to win has fallen from about 45 percent to around 40 percent in polling by The Economist/YouGov, as the chart below shows, while Biden’s share has slowly ticked up to where Trump’s numbers are. (Roughly a fifth of respondents still say they’re “not sure.”)



Trump’s decline may not seem that dramatic — and it’s not; it’s only a few points lower — but it’s notable because prior to June, he had trailed on this question only once since The Economist/YouGov first asked it in December.1

[...]

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/voters-are-starting-to-doubt-trumps-reelection-chances/

[dunceDude]

Normies too busy providing for their families and enjoying loving relationships to realize the state of the race! Embarrassing for them!!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

278 map in D favored environment was always against Trump even with Bernie as nominee

[Non Swing Voter]

PTSD from 2016 could only survive so many weeks of Biden double digit leads in the polls.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

278 map in D favored environment was always against Trump even with Bernie as nominee

I think with Bernie, you would have the 278 D map + OH and IA bringing the D friewall up to 303

[pollvaulter]

538 says Ohio is +1 or so for Biden & that Missouri & South Carolina he’s only behind by 7%

I’m telling you all, these polls are way off. Biden could be marginally ahead in FL / PA but there’s not a chance he’s up in Ohio or winning Ohio.

Trump won OH by 450,000 votes. Republicans didn’t lose a seat in the midterms, & won every seat in 2018 by very comfortable margins. The demographics don’t favor Biden here one bit.

And there’s not a chance Biden is behind only 7% in Missouri or SC, states Trump won by 18% & 14%. Which also means the Midwest & FL are just polling within 1-2%.

[pppolitics]

538 says Ohio is +1 or so for Biden & that Missouri & South Carolina he’s only behind by 7%

I’m telling you all, these polls are way off. Biden could be marginally ahead in FL / PA but there’s not a chance he’s up in Ohio or winning Ohio.

Trump won OH by 450,000 votes. Republicans didn’t lose a seat in the midterms, & won every seat in 2018 by very comfortable margins. The demographics don’t favor Biden here one bit.

And there’s not a chance Biden is behind only 7% in Missouri or SC, states Trump won by 18% & 14%. Which also means the Midwest & FL are just polling within 1-2%.

pretty sure pollvaulter is someone's sockpuppet

[pollvaulter]

538 says Ohio is +1 or so for Biden & that Missouri & South Carolina he’s only behind by 7%

I’m telling you all, these polls are way off. Biden could be marginally ahead in FL / PA but there’s not a chance he’s up in Ohio or winning Ohio.

Trump won OH by 450,000 votes. Republicans didn’t lose a seat in the midterms, & won every seat in 2018 by very comfortable margins. The demographics don’t favor Biden here one bit.

And there’s not a chance Biden is behind only 7% in Missouri or SC, states Trump won by 18% & 14%. Which also means the Midwest & FL are just polling within 1-2%.

pretty sure pollvaulter is someone's sockpuppet

I'm not, I just don't come on here that often.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's still early, and we still have 3 months left, the early votes trend D but same day voting trend to Rs, we have to realize that, there are 3 debates, and Biden is gonna have to tell voters he ie open to open boarders at the time of Covid 19 and raise Capital Gain taxes, when stocks are up.

This hurt Hillary chances

Even if Biden is elected., unless there is a quick vaccine,  we are still gonna be in same boat as under Trump