Redfield & Wilton: Biden +10 in WI, +9 PA, +8 MI, +4 AZ, +2 FL, +2 NC

[GeorgiaModerate]

Redfield & Wilton swing state polls, May 10-14

WI (875 LV): Biden 48, Trump 38

MI (970 LV): Biden 47, Trump 39

PA (963 LV): Biden 48, Trump 39

FL (1014 LV): Biden 45, Trump 43

NC (859 LV): Biden 45, Trump 43

AZ (946 LV): Biden 45, Trump 41

[Holmes]

Nice.

[Pericles]

Are we sure they weighted by education? These results seem too good in the Upper Midwest, especially relative to other swing states. I didn't see education results in the link.

[Lief 🗽]

Tremendous numbers from the Gold Standard Redfield & Wilton poll, a polling firm that we are definitely not all hearing about for the first time today!

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

The R internal makes up want to believe that PA is Likely R. PA is safe D

[Gass3268]

Are we sure they weighted by education? These results seem too good in the Upper Midwest, especially relative to other swing states. I didn't see education results in the link.

British pollster so who knows.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

No response from SN2903 when these polls show up having Trump losing in all battleground states. Only responded when Trump was leading in an R internal in PA

[MT Treasurer]

There’s no way Biden doesn’t have a shot at OH if those WI/PA/MI numbers are accurate.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

There’s no way Biden doesn’t have a shot at OH if those WI/PA/MI numbers are accurate.

NE OH Youngstown and CVG have 18 percent African Americans.  TX wont matter. But, OH, IA and even KS are winnable by Biden

[Landslide Lyndon]

There’s no way Biden doesn’t have a shot at OH if those WI/PA/MI numbers are accurate.

Even if he has there is no need to waste resources in a state that has no competitive downballot races.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

There’s no way Biden doesn’t have a shot at OH if those WI/PA/MI numbers are accurate.

Even if he has there is no need to waste resources in a state that has no competitive downballot races.

There are two state Supreme Court seats which should be competitive, but these just don't compare to putting money into the Senate races.

[MT Treasurer]

There’s no way Biden doesn’t have a shot at OH if those WI/PA/MI numbers are accurate.

Even if he has there is no need to waste resources in a state that has no competitive downballot races.

There are two state Supreme Court seats which should be competitive, but these just don't compare to putting money into the Senate races.

Also OH-1 and OH-12, but I’m not saying that they should prioritize those races (my point was more that Biden could certainly win OH in a Democratic wave).

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

Biden can win IA, AZ but NC, GA seats arent necessary, Tillis is a Barry Goldwater conservative and will survive. That's why Tillis will win and Ernst will lose, IA 1, 2, 3, 4 are much more valuable than NC

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

I’m really surprised by the Wisdonsin numbers we’re getting today.  All of the others are in line with my expectations, but I would have figured WI was around Biden +4 or 5 right now.  Perhaps all of the focus on the protests there have backfired and scared people.

[Progressive Pessimist]

If it wasn't for Wisconsin somehow being to the left of both Michigan and Pennsylvania (which is to the left of Michigan somehow), I would say that these look like some conceivable results for now.

[GeorgiaModerate]

If it wasn't for Wisconsin somehow being to the left of both Michigan and Pennsylvania (which is to the left of Michigan somehow), I would say that these look like some conceivable results for now.

With margin of error, you can't really say more than that the Midwest group of three is further left than the other three.

[ProudModerate2]

(Image above) SN, expressing how much he loves seeing these numbers.

[Alben Barkley]

Another poll showing Biden doing stronger in WI than even PA or MI.

Very interesting.

[Alben Barkley]

If it wasn't for Wisconsin somehow being to the left of both Michigan and Pennsylvania (which is to the left of Michigan somehow), I would say that these look like some conceivable results for now.

The idea that someone finds this "inconceivable" shows you just how far off the rails the whole "WiScOnsIn iS TiTaNiUm R nOw" meme has gone.

[Darthpi - Crush the Oligarchy]

WI and PA look a bit too D, but as always throw it in the average.

[DaleCooper]

If it wasn't for Wisconsin somehow being to the left of both Michigan and Pennsylvania (which is to the left of Michigan somehow), I would say that these look like some conceivable results for now.

It's also possible that Wisconsin, which statistically was almost exactly in line with its other two "big three" neighbors in 2016, hasn't trended hard right the way people think.

[Tender Branson]

Biden/Demings will eat the orange clown alive.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

Demings isnt gonna be Veep, she will be in Cabinet of Biden. Biden will pick Warren or Klobuchar,  someone with experience in the Senate. Veep is Prez Pro Tempore of the Senate and breaks ties, that's why LBJ, Gore, Lieberman, Edwards, Biden and Kaine were all picked for Veep. No House members, allowed

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Great, polling data from a company that really hasn't polled U.S elections before!

[Gass3268]

There’s no way Biden doesn’t have a shot at OH if those WI/PA/MI numbers are accurate.

Even if he has there is no need to waste resources in a state that has no competitive downballot races.

There are two state Supreme Court seats which should be competitive, but these just don't compare to putting money into the Senate races.

Also OH-1 and OH-12, but I’m not saying that they should prioritize those races (my point was more that Biden could certainly win OH in a Democratic wave).

More important would be the chance of Democrats flipping the Ohio Supreme Court.