PPP (Iowa): Ernst +1

[Perlen vor den Schweinen]

Joni Ernst is the Republican Kay Hagen.

I like where that is going... but I don't want any tick bites or bad things happening to anyone, besides Ernst losing re-election.

[Left Wing]

I hope Franken is the nominee

[SnowLabrador]

Joni Ernst is the Republican Kay Hagen.

I like where that is going... but I don't want any tick bites or bad things happening to anyone, besides Ernst losing re-election.

In all seriousness, I could see that if this turns into a true blue wave. Both Hagan and Ernst were state Senators who flipped a US Senate seat by 8 points; I could see Ernst losing in 2020 by 1-2 points as well.

[Xing]

If Ernst were to lose (unlikely, but not impossible in a wave), I think Udall would be a better comparison, given the way CO trended and IA is trending.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Collins, Ernst and SMC may survive and Rs still lose Senate based on AZ, CO, KS, MT and NC

[PAK Man]

I've been telling people for months that this race was going to be competitive, but nobody believes me. Ernst is not as popular as she seems to be, and is certainly nowhere near as popular as Grassley is.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I guess the race is Lean R but def. closer to tossup than likely at this point.

[Badger]

As much as I would love to believe this, it smells like an outlier. I'm not aware of any reason Ernst would be tangibly underperforming Trump, and doubt she will much if at all, election day.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

43 to 42 for Ernst and 47 to 43 for McConnell is bad for their reelection prospects 😍😍😍

Sen Greenfield and Sen McGrath

It tilts R, but not Solid R, Dems know the difference

[S019]

43 to 42 for Ernst and 47 to 43 for McConnell is bad for their reelection prospects 😍😍😍

Sen Greenfield and Sen McGrath

It tilts R, but not Solid R, Dems know the difference

I'm sorry but KY isn't flipping, I think after 2008 and 2014 the lesson was learned that KY is Safe R