Latino Decisions: Biden +41 with Latino voters

[Alben Barkley]

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/498758-poll-National-latino-support-for-biden-sees-slight-increase

Biden: 62

Trump: 21

Slight gain from April poll that had Biden leading 59-22.

Hillary won Latinos 66-28. Obama won them 71-27 in 2012.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Now that looks more accurate compared to all those polls showing Biden with a narrow lead, or Trump around 30%. In the end though Trump probably will get somewhere between 27-29% of Latin voters. I do think that Republicans have a floor with them.

[Alben Barkley]

Now that looks more accurate compared to all those polls showing Biden with a narrow lead, or Trump around 30%. In the end though Trump probably will get somewhere between 27-29% of Latin voters. I do think that Republicans have a floor with them.

Maybe, but at least this poll contradicts the dumb idea some have that Biden has some horrible weakness with Latino voters that even Hillary didn't have and that there is a real danger of Trump gaining significant ground with them somehow even though he has done absolutely nothing to improve his standing with them.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Now that looks more accurate compared to all those polls showing Biden with a narrow lead, or Trump around 30%. In the end though Trump probably will get somewhere between 27-29% of Latin voters. I do think that Republicans have a floor with them.

Maybe, but at least this poll contradicts the dumb idea some have that Biden has some horrible weakness with Latino voters that even Hillary didn't have and that there is a real danger of Trump gaining significant ground with them somehow even though he has done absolutely nothing to improve his standing with them.

Absolutely, I never bought that somehow they would flock to Trump just because they aren't ecstatic about Biden.

[Devout Centrist]

Turnout among Latinos worries me more than the % margin

[SevenEleven]

Turnout among Latinos worries me more than the % margin

Biden needs to rely on surrogates, he can't do this alone.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Turnout among Latinos worries me more than the % margin

Turnout wasn’t good among them in Arizona in 2018 though either (see Yuma County’s drop from 2016 to 2018), and Democrats still did fine because of the gains from suburban voters.

[SevenEleven]

Turnout among Latinos worries me more than the % margin

Turnout wasn’t good among them in Arizona in 2018 though either (see Yuma County’s drop from 2016 to 2018), and Democrats still did fine because of the gains from suburban voters.

Hispanic turnout always sucks in midterms.

[CivicParticipant]

Biden has to do better than that.

[Annatar]

You can't compare Latino Decisions (LD's) numbers to the normal exit poll, LD numbers have to be compared to LD numbers in 2016, their 2016 exit poll found Clinton winning Latinos by 79-18, or 61%, so this is a 20% drop off relative to 2016 for Biden.

[Bidenworth2020]

You can't compare Latino Decisions (LD's) numbers to the normal exit poll, LD numbers have to be compared to LD numbers in 2016, their 2016 exit poll found Clinton winning Latinos by 79-18, or 61%, so this is a 20% drop off relative to 2016 for Biden.

True, but they also have Trump getting a very similar raw %. I would assume most of those undecideds are Biden friendly.

[ProudModerate2]

Slight gain from April poll that had Biden leading 59-22.

Hillary won Latinos 66-28. Obama won them 71-27 in 2012.

This is great news.
I expect more of the undecided to go to Biden by November. But I doubt trump can fall further than the low 20's number (20 to 23).

[SN2903]

Not believable. Trump will get 30-35% with Hispanics.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

Not believable. Trump will get 30-35% with Hispanics.

Just because you said so, lol?

[Ferguson97]

Not believable. Trump will get 30-35% with Hispanics.

Just because you said so, lol?

Don't you know SN is the arbiter of truth?

[Intell]

Latino Decision had Trump getting 19% with latinos in 2016 lol.

[JA]

Not believable. Trump will get 30-35% with Hispanics.

You can’t just make baseless claims like that and expect to be taken seriously. Either provide some evidence to support that unsubstantiated opinion or quit making outlandish claims.