Quinnipiac: Biden +11

[ProudModerate2]

!!! Voters trust Biden more than Trump with the economy 48-47%

Love it!
Americans seem to be souring on trump being trusted with the economy.
If this keeps-up, trump's chances of winning are going to be very, very low.

[Illini Moderate]

This is absolutely an outlier. The sample and cross tabs are trash

[Dumbo]

This Is the 2nd consecutive month that it's been Biden +11. This race is over, Trump with an ongoing Pandemic isnt gonna come back. He needs a full recovery and it wont happen by Nov😎😎😎

The bird that sings in the morning the cat fetches in the evening

[psychprofessor]

ooof Biden +10 with 65+

[roxas11]

Latinos are going to swing to trump by a quiet a bit in this election..

In a normal year maybe he could pull something like that off

But In year where this is happening



something tells me he going to struggle to win them over lol

[SN2903]

Quinnipiac has released several ridiculous pro-Democratic outliers since 2017, so it’s probably closer than that, but there was never really a path for Trump to win the popular vote. If he couldn’t pull it off when he ran against Hillary Clinton in 2016, there’s no way he can do it in 2020.

Maybe but the popular vote doesn't matter.

[SN2903]

Way too high, could indicate 'hidden' Trump vote. My guess will be 50-47 for Biden as the national vote, with 3% voting third party.

Based on what?

Based on the fact that Trump is an incumbent and is getting minimum 47% of the vote whether you like it or not. He isn't getting less than 2016. His approval is 2-3% higher than 2018.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Way too high, could indicate 'hidden' Trump vote. My guess will be 50-47 for Biden as the national vote, with 3% voting third party.

Based on what?

Based on the fact that Trump is an incumbent and is getting minimum 47% of the vote whether you like it or not. He isn't getting less than 2016. His approval is 2-3% higher than 2018.

There is absolutely no guarantee that Trump will get a minimum of 47%.  Your opinion does not make it so.

And you really don't have to keep spouting this stuff over and over again.  Everybody knows you don't think it's possible Trump can lose. 

[Landslide Lyndon]

Latinos are going to swing to trump by a quiet a bit in this election..

I highly doubt it given the last 4 years and known problems with polling that group.

2016/2018 under-sampled republican latino vote.

Senators Dean Heller and Martha McSally agree with you.

[tagimaucia]

The well-respected Catalist data firm says that Hillary won Latinos by 46.3% while Dems only won them by 43.5% in 2008 despite the overall vote shifting to the left by several points.  So it does seem like there is something to Latinos warming to Republicans(Trump?) on the margins against overall national trends-- that or they particularly like Hillary for some reason.

[Alben Barkley]

Here's how Trump can still win

We are getting into “Donald Math” territory at this point with some of the rationalizations the Trump supporters use here to explain why Trump is actually winning and all the polls are wrong.

[Alben Barkley]

Latinos are going to swing to trump by a quiet a bit in this election..

I highly doubt it given the last 4 years and known problems with polling that group.

2016/2018 under-sampled republican latino vote.

Senators Dean Heller and Martha McSally agree with you.

Well, technically McSally is a senator, but not because she won and not for long.

[Yoda]

Aaaaaaaand president trump continues to under poll his own approval rating. This is a durable, steady trend at this point where his #'s are 3-4% under his approval rating. This is a huge sign of weakness for trump.

[Ferguson97]

Here's how Trump can still win

I don't have a reply to your post, I just noticed your signature. Bergen County forever!

[Brittain33]

Latino voters 💖 high unemployment and pandemics, will swing to Trump

[Progressive Pessimist]

Yeah, this is probably an outlier, but it still glorious.

Quinnipiac has released several ridiculous pro-Democratic outliers since 2017, so it’s probably closer than that, but there was never really a path for Trump to win the popular vote. If he couldn’t pull it off when he ran against Hillary Clinton in 2016, there’s no way he can do it in 2020.

Maybe but the popular vote doesn't matter.

It does matter if Biden is able to blow Trump out by double digits. There is no way that Trump can depend on an electoral vote-popular vote split if that's the case.

[SN2903]

Way too high, could indicate 'hidden' Trump vote. My guess will be 50-47 for Biden as the national vote, with 3% voting third party.

Based on what?

Based on the fact that Trump is an incumbent and is getting minimum 47% of the vote whether you like it or not. He isn't getting less than 2016. His approval is 2-3% higher than 2018.

There is absolutely no guarantee that Trump will get a minimum of 47%.  Your opinion does not make it so.

And you really don't have to keep spouting this stuff over and over again.  Everybody knows you don't think it's possible Trump can lose. 

When did I say it wasn't possible? It's just not likely.

[SN2903]

Yeah, this is probably an outlier, but it still glorious.

Quinnipiac has released several ridiculous pro-Democratic outliers since 2017, so it’s probably closer than that, but there was never really a path for Trump to win the popular vote. If he couldn’t pull it off when he ran against Hillary Clinton in 2016, there’s no way he can do it in 2020.

Maybe but the popular vote doesn't matter.

It does matter if Biden is able to blow Trump out by double digits. There is no way that Trump can depend on an electoral vote-popular vote split if that's the case.

The most Biden can win the pop vote by is like 3 3.5%. That's it.

[Beet]

There's no way that white women are going for Biden by 10 points. If that group is even tied, Trump is in deep trouble. A poll result like this just proves that college educated voters are being overpolled again compared to non college educated white voters.

Based on the white college non-college breakdown and the overall 4 point Trump lead among whites, this poll assumes that college educated whites will be 51-52% of the white electorate and non college educated whites only 48-49%.

In fact only 33% of non-Hispanic whites had a four year degree left or more in 2015.

The exact same mistake that polls made in 2016.

Quinnipiac is doing the exact same thing again. At this point you have to assume it's deliberate.

[Bidenworth2020]

There's no way that white women are going for Biden by 10 points. If that group is even tied, Trump is in deep trouble. A poll result like this just proves that college educated voters are being overpolled again compared to non college educated white voters.

Based on the white college non-college breakdown and the overall 4 point Trump lead among whites, this poll assumes that college educated whites will be 51-52% of the white electorate and non college educated whites only 48-49%.

In fact only 33% of non-Hispanic whites had a four year degree left or more in 2015.

The exact same mistake that polls made in 2016.

Quinnipiac is doing the exact same thing again. At this point you have to assume it's deliberate.

Even if you unskew that, Biden leads by 6-8 points. Add on top of that that Biden has far more upside with minorities having twice as many undecided as whites, and it does not paint a rosy picture for trump. Also, lol at thinking QPac is trying to rig poll results in favor of Biden. Qanon type stuff, but what should I expect at this point lol.

[DaleCooper]

There's no way that white women are going for Biden by 10 points. If that group is even tied, Trump is in deep trouble. A poll result like this just proves that college educated voters are being overpolled again compared to non college educated white voters.

Based on the white college non-college breakdown and the overall 4 point Trump lead among whites, this poll assumes that college educated whites will be 51-52% of the white electorate and non college educated whites only 48-49%.

In fact only 33% of non-Hispanic whites had a four year degree left or more in 2015.

The exact same mistake that polls made in 2016.

Quinnipiac is doing the exact same thing again. At this point you have to assume it's deliberate.

Why would a respected poll deliberately make itself less accurate?

[Beet]

There's no way that white women are going for Biden by 10 points. If that group is even tied, Trump is in deep trouble. A poll result like this just proves that college educated voters are being overpolled again compared to non college educated white voters.

Based on the white college non-college breakdown and the overall 4 point Trump lead among whites, this poll assumes that college educated whites will be 51-52% of the white electorate and non college educated whites only 48-49%.

In fact only 33% of non-Hispanic whites had a four year degree left or more in 2015.

The exact same mistake that polls made in 2016.

Quinnipiac is doing the exact same thing again. At this point you have to assume it's deliberate.

Why would a respected poll deliberately make itself less accurate?

Because they want to make money and a headline like "Biden +11" is more convenient to the narratives their partner media publications want to push.

[Badger]

Latinos are going to swing to trump by a quiet a bit in this election..

I highly doubt it given the last 4 years and known problems with polling that group.

2016/2018 under-sampled republican latino vote.

Jeez, and here I thought you were just joking.

[Tender Branson]

So much winning for the orange clown ...

[emailking]

Wow so Biden wins by 11 points. That's going to be like a 400+ EV vote landslide. See ya later DB! 😎