2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Kansas
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Author Topic: 2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Kansas  (Read 13488 times)
lfromnj
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« Reply #225 on: March 30, 2022, 03:36:19 PM »
https://www.aclukansas.org/en/press-releases/wyandotte-county-judge-consolidates-redistricting-cases-trial-starts-monday

Trial starts on April 4th.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #226 on: April 04, 2022, 09:58:51 AM »


Trial starts today.
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GALeftist
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« Reply #227 on: April 07, 2022, 02:09:26 PM »


Ad Astra likely dead.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #228 on: April 11, 2022, 01:44:39 PM »
Quote from: GALeftist on April 07, 2022, 02:09:26 PM


Ad Astra likely dead.
Good news.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #229 on: April 11, 2022, 09:29:07 PM »
Quote from: GALeftist on April 07, 2022, 02:09:26 PM


Ad Astra likely dead.

Idiotic lawsuit, why did they even bring up racial gerrymandering?. Even the NC case didn't touch it for smart reasons. I still expect it to get struck down  but they may have opened to federal courts.
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #230 on: April 18, 2022, 12:48:59 PM »
Quote from: lfromnj on April 11, 2022, 09:29:07 PM
Quote from: GALeftist on April 07, 2022, 02:09:26 PM

Ad Astra likely dead.

Idiotic lawsuit, why did they even bring up racial gerrymandering?. Even the NC case didn't touch it for smart reasons. I still expect it to get struck down  but they may have opened to federal courts.

Yeah I don't get how it's a 'racial gerrymander.' Partisan gerrymander, yeah, but not a racial gerrymander.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #231 on: April 25, 2022, 11:00:06 AM »
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GALeftist
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« Reply #232 on: April 25, 2022, 11:42:05 AM »
Quote from: lfromnj on April 25, 2022, 11:00:06 AM


Brownback judge lol. Do Republicans bother with an appeal?
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kwabbit
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« Reply #233 on: April 25, 2022, 05:21:35 PM »
Quote from: lfromnj on April 11, 2022, 09:29:07 PM
Quote from: GALeftist on April 07, 2022, 02:09:26 PM

Ad Astra likely dead.

Idiotic lawsuit, why did they even bring up racial gerrymandering?. Even the NC case didn't touch it for smart reasons. I still expect it to get struck down  but they may have opened to federal courts.

I guess you didn’t see the news that 15% Black districts are now VRA protected lol. I think that some Dems think that any non-White Dem rep is protected, in this case Sharice Davids. Just like Val Demings is.

Like just call out the Republicans for partisan gerrymandering. That’s what they’re doing; this is no racist mastermind scheme, the Kansas Republicans just drew a crappy half baked gerrymander.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #234 on: April 25, 2022, 05:22:34 PM »
Quote from: kwabbit on April 25, 2022, 05:21:35 PM
Quote from: lfromnj on April 11, 2022, 09:29:07 PM
Quote from: GALeftist on April 07, 2022, 02:09:26 PM

Ad Astra likely dead.

Idiotic lawsuit, why did they even bring up racial gerrymandering?. Even the NC case didn't touch it for smart reasons. I still expect it to get struck down  but they may have opened to federal courts.

I guess you didn’t see the news that 15% Black districts are now VRA protected lol. I think that some Dems think that any non-White Dem rep is protected, in this case Sharice Davids. Just like Val Demings is.

Like just call out the Republicans for partisan gerrymandering. That’s what they’re doing; this is no racist mastermind scheme, the Kansas Republicans just drew a crappy half baked gerrymander.

It's actually the only gerrymander possible for various reasons I explained earlier in the thread.
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GALeftist
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« Reply #235 on: April 26, 2022, 12:12:29 PM »
Republicans are appealing to the Kansas Supreme Court. I expect that the chances they prevail are virtually nil.
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BoiseBoy
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« Reply #236 on: April 29, 2022, 04:41:23 PM »
Oral arguments for the case before the KS Supreme Court will be held May 16 at 1:30 PM.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #237 on: May 13, 2022, 09:39:18 PM »


Weird sidenote; Kansas is the first and only state to now have RAW 2012 Pres data. Turning on swing, the shifts in white suburbs of Johnson County have been brutal.



Quite literally the square of doom for the GOP. We're talking 30+ point leftwards swings in 2 cycles. The rest of the state has p much been a wash since.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #238 on: May 13, 2022, 09:53:03 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on May 13, 2022, 09:39:18 PM


Weird sidenote; Kansas is the first and only state to now have RAW 2012 Pres data. Turning on swing, the shifts in white suburbs of Johnson County have been brutal.



Quite literally the square of doom for the GOP. We're talking 30+ point leftwards swings in 2 cycles. The rest of the state has p much been a wash since.
We're getting to the point where it's, if the numbers remain where they are or move even farther, cracking D votes in NE KS up is going to be an exercise in futility.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #239 on: May 16, 2022, 04:50:21 PM »


Interesting?
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #240 on: May 16, 2022, 04:55:09 PM »
Quote from: lfromnj on May 16, 2022, 04:50:21 PM


Interesting?
Ramifications if the legislative maps are upheld?
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GALeftist
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« Reply #241 on: May 16, 2022, 05:05:54 PM »
Quote from: lfromnj on May 16, 2022, 04:50:21 PM


Interesting?

This seems unsurprising to me? I thought there's just like one dude in the state senate who doesn't like the new state legislative lines; other than that, it seems like they were pretty fair, they were signed by Kelly, so I was expecting the KSSC to OK those.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #242 on: May 16, 2022, 06:09:15 PM »
I guess what they did with the Lawrence/Topeka area on the Senate map is a bit fishy, but other than that the legislative maps look pretty plain to me.   I don't really know what they'd sue over.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #243 on: May 16, 2022, 07:16:39 PM »
« Edited: May 16, 2022, 07:48:28 PM by ProgressiveModerate »
Ye the only thing their map really does is pvercome some unfavorable geography doenst really impedes Dems ability to break the supermajority (or theoretically win the majority).

The congressional map IMO isn't really a racial gerrymander but pretty much is an objectable gerrymander. Whether that's enough to force a new map is up to the court.

Hope that if it is overturned, they don't give it back to the legistlature for a long game of hardball.

Seriously though all this gerrymander really does is possibly give the GOP KS-03 for another cycle or two. You could easily draw a map that's pretty solidly 3-1 and is fair

Here's an example:



A Trump + 16ish KS-02 should be safe for the GOP; a reminder this district really hasn't shifted much politically from 2012 overall; infact Turmp narrowly outperformed Romney's margin in this map. A Witicha + Rurals district also isn't flipping barring something very unforeseen and KS-01 is obviously safe.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #244 on: May 18, 2022, 10:36:41 AM »
« Edited: May 18, 2022, 10:46:51 AM by lfromnj »


I wonder what caused it?

Was it either the fact that gerrymandering is allowed or it wasn't an extreme one or was it that the plaintiffs focused too strongly on the racial aspect which was dumb.
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GALeftist
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« Reply #245 on: May 18, 2022, 10:51:17 AM »
Wow, a shocking setback.
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Devils30
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« Reply #246 on: May 19, 2022, 06:07:03 PM »
This seat is gone as part of a GOP wave. But if there’s a Roe backlash in Johnson county, the Ds probably hold it…basically will be affected by national trends.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #247 on: May 19, 2022, 11:29:38 PM »
Quote from: Devils30 on May 19, 2022, 06:07:03 PM
This seat is gone as part of a GOP wave. But if there’s a Roe backlash in Johnson county, the Ds probably hold it…basically will be affected by national trends.

Davids is vulnerable but she’s not DOA. Kelly will almost certainly hold this seat even if she loses.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #248 on: May 21, 2022, 09:13:19 AM »
Still no opinion yet.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #249 on: June 21, 2022, 10:20:08 AM »
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