Unionist Kentucky in 1996
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  Unionist Kentucky in 1996
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Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
Junior Chimp
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« on: December 23, 2018, 02:24:38 AM »

Bill Clinton in 1996 is the only Democrat besides LBJ in 1964 to hit either twenty percent in Jackson County or thirty percent in Owsley County. He ran a stronger margin in Leslie than any Democrat besides LBJ, he did better in Knox County then any Democrat besides FDR and LBJ. Why did he poll so well out here? Backlash against the Contract with America?
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #1 on: December 23, 2018, 04:17:47 AM »

Bill Clinton in 1996 is the only Democrat besides LBJ in 1964 to hit either twenty percent in Jackson County or thirty percent in Owsley County. He ran a stronger margin in Leslie than any Democrat besides LBJ, he did better in Knox County then any Democrat besides FDR and LBJ. Why did he poll so well out here? Backlash against the Contract with America?

That and also because Clinton hailed from the Unionist portion of the South himself and was a very strong in the outer south generally.
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Lechasseur
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« Reply #2 on: December 23, 2018, 04:26:35 AM »

Bill Clinton in 1996 is the only Democrat besides LBJ in 1964 to hit either twenty percent in Jackson County or thirty percent in Owsley County. He ran a stronger margin in Leslie than any Democrat besides LBJ, he did better in Knox County then any Democrat besides FDR and LBJ. Why did he poll so well out here? Backlash against the Contract with America?

That and also because Clinton hailed from the Unionist portion of the South himself and was a very strong in the outer south generally.

Arkansas wasn't unionist I don't believe. I think only Appalachia was, but I could be wrong. If you have any sources I could look up, I'd be interested in seeing them.
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mianfei
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« Reply #3 on: September 16, 2020, 08:54:58 AM »

Clinton himself did not hail from a Unionist part of the South – only two of Arkansas’ counties (Newton and Searcy) were truly Unionist and anti-secession, and he was from the south of the state. Tennessee had larger areas – almost all of East Tennessee, Macon County which is part of Kentucky’s Unionist Pennyroyal Plateau, and the five West Tennessee Highland Rim counties of Carroll, Henderson, McNairy, Hardin and Wayne – that opposed secession, but Al Gore hailed from secessionist Middle Tennessee Smith County.

The reason Clinton did so relatively well in Unionist Eastern Kentucky in 1996 is probably that he did exceptionally well in the traditionally Republican Yankee rural Northeast and Midwest, and that Unionist parts of Appalachia have had a very strong political affinity with the rural Yankee counties throughout the period since the Civil War.

One can see the similarity in Clinton being alongside LBJ:

  • the only Democrat to carry Appalachian Martin County, KY (why was this omitted?)
  • the only Democrat to carry Gallia County, Ohio, which is Yankee-settled and in Appalachia
  • the only Democrat to carry the following Yankee New York counties: Cattaraugus, Chenango, Delaware, Fulton, Jefferson, Ontario, Schuyler and Yates
  • the only Democrat to carry the Yankee Lower Michigan counties of Lapeer and Osceola
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