How would states have approached redistricting if Trump had won?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 08:14:30 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  Political Geography & Demographics (Moderators: muon2, 100% pro-life no matter what)
  How would states have approached redistricting if Trump had won?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: How would states have approached redistricting if Trump had won?  (Read 328 times)
Tekken_Guy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,986
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: December 13, 2021, 01:05:45 PM »

How would states have approached redistricting differently if Trump had won re-election?
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,652
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: December 13, 2021, 07:26:04 PM »

We would have seen at least one state test the limits of CVAP/registered voters apportionment.
Logged
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,546


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: December 13, 2021, 07:49:36 PM »

We would have seen at least one state test the limits of CVAP/registered voters apportionment.

I think Texas would be the most likely candidate for that.
Logged
lfromnj
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,364


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: December 13, 2021, 08:06:19 PM »
« Edited: December 13, 2021, 08:54:06 PM by lfromnj »

We would have seen at least one state test the limits of CVAP/registered voters apportionment.

I think Texas would be the most likely candidate for that.

Only state in all likelyhood. NC GOP doesn't gain anything as it just makes the Charlotte sink a bit bigger but the Triangle districts have to shrink. maybe it makes Gwinett a touch easier for GA but that's about it.
FL Cubans would be mad.

Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: December 13, 2021, 08:21:07 PM »

We would have seen at least one state test the limits of CVAP/registered voters apportionment.

I think Texas would be the most likely candidate for that.

Only state in all likelyhood. NC doesn't gain anything, maybe it makes Gwinett a touch easier for GA but that's about it.
FL Cubans would be mad.

FL Republicans do not need the Cubans Republicans in the State Legislature to be on board in order to pass redistricting maps, as their majorities are big enough.
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,721


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: December 13, 2021, 08:24:38 PM »

Depends upon how much he wins by and how.

Chances are Democrats probably would've been scared by the win, and been much more cautious, especially if they ended up losing the House.

Republicans may also have felt more comfortable going all in and as others have said testing VRA.
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,652
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: December 13, 2021, 10:18:21 PM »

Weirdly, Missouri was one of the states most interested in switching to CVAP.  There's even a chance they still try it for the legislative maps.  Language in the R-leaning redistricting amendment that passed last year intentionally changed a total population standard to "on the basis of one-person, one-vote." 
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,377
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: December 15, 2021, 10:48:43 PM »

Depends upon how much he wins by and how.

Chances are Democrats probably would've been scared by the win, and been much more cautious, especially if they ended up losing the House.

Republicans may also have felt more comfortable going all in and as others have said testing VRA.
Ds might actually be more aggressive if anything else. Trump re-elected means that a Trump six-year-itch in 2022 that could dislodge some GOP incumbents and rob the GOP of incumbency bonus in those districts in later elections.
Logged
David Hume
davidhume
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,621
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: 1.22

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: December 16, 2021, 09:32:00 AM »

Depends upon how much he wins by and how.

Chances are Democrats probably would've been scared by the win, and been much more cautious, especially if they ended up losing the House.

Republicans may also have felt more comfortable going all in and as others have said testing VRA.
Ds might actually be more aggressive if anything else. Trump re-elected means that a Trump six-year-itch in 2022 that could dislodge some GOP incumbents and rob the GOP of incumbency bonus in those districts in later elections.
Ds are already very aggressive now. If Trump won, he would have pushed GOP controlled states like FL, IN, TN to go max out, since otherwise there is no chance for them to win the house in 2022.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.222 seconds with 12 queries.