2016: Senate election with these candidates, President: Biden vs Trump

[😥]

2016 Democratic Presidential nominee: VP Joe Biden
2016 Republican Presidential nominee: Mr. Donald Trump

Senate election
AL: Richard Shelby vs Parker Griffith
AK: Lisa Murkowski vs Mark Begich
AZ: John McCain vs Ann Kirkpatrick
AR: John Boozman vs Mike Beebe
CA: Kamala Harris vs Loretta Sanchez
CO: Michael Bennet vs Darryl Glenn
CT: Dick Blumenthal vs Dan Carter
FL: Marco Rubio vs Patrick Murphy
GA: Johnny Isakson vs Sanford Bishop
HI: Brian Schatz unopposed
ID: Mike Crapo unopposed
IL: Mark Kirk vs Tammy Duckworth
IN: Todd Young vs Evan Bayh
IA: Chuck Grassley vs Tom Vilsack
KS: Jerry Moran vs Kathleen Sebelius
KY: Rand Paul vs Steve Beshear
LA: John Kennedy vs Mitch Landrieu
MD: Chris Van Hollen vs Kathy Szeliga
MO: Roy Blunt vs Jason Kander
NV: Catherine Cortez-Masto vs Joe Heck
NH: Kelly Ayotte vs Maggie Hassan
NY: Chuck Schumer vs Wendy Long
NC: Richard Burr vs Jeff Jackson
ND: John Hoeven unopposed
OH: Rob Portman vs Tim Ryan
OK: Jim Lankford vs Brad Henry
OR: Ron Wyden vs Mark Callahan
PA: Pat Toomey vs Joe Sestak
SC: Tim Scott vs Thomas Dixon
SD: John Thune vs Tom Daschle
UT: Mike Lee vs Misty Snow
VT: Patrick Leahy vs Scott Mline
WA: Patty Murray vs Chris Vance
WI: Ron Johnson vs Russ Feingold

Who would win in each of these match-ups?

[😥]

I would say:

Without Tossups
AL: Richard Shelby vs Parker Griffith: Safe R
AK: Lisa Murkowski vs Mark Begich: Lean R
AZ: John McCain vs Ann Kirkpatrick: Likely R
AR: John Boozman vs Mike Beebe: Tossup/Tilt D
CA: Kamala Harris vs Loretta Sanchez: Likely Harris
CO: Michael Bennet vs Darryl Glenn: Safe D
CT: Dick Blumenthal vs Dan Carter: Safe D
FL: Marco Rubio vs Patrick Murphy: Tossup/Tilt D
GA: Johnny Isakson vs Sanford Bishop: Tossup/Tilt R
HI: Brian Schatz unopposed: Safe D
ID: Mike Crapo unopposed: Safe R
IL: Mark Kirk vs Tammy Duckworth: Safe D
IN: Todd Young vs Evan Bayh: Tossup/Tilt D
IA: Chuck Grassley vs Tom Vilsack: Tossup/Tilt D
KS: Jerry Moran vs Kathleen Sebelius: Lean R
KY: Rand Paul vs Steve Beshear: Tossup/Tilt D
LA: John Kennedy vs Mitch Landrieu: Lean R
MD: Chris Van Hollen vs Kathy Szeliga: Safe D
MO: Roy Blunt vs Jason Kander: Lean D
NV: Catherine Cortez-Masto vs Joe Heck: Lean D
NH: Kelly Ayotte vs Maggie Hassan: Lean D
NY: Chuck Schumer vs Wendy Long: Safe D
NC: Richard Burr vs Jeff Jackson: Lean D
ND: John Hoeven unopposed: Safe R
OH: Rob Portman vs Tim Ryan: Tossup/Tilt R
OK: Jim Lankford vs Brad Henry: Likely R
OR: Ron Wyden vs Mark Callahan: Safe D
PA: Pat Toomey vs Joe Sestak: Lean D
SC: Tim Scott vs Thomas Dixon: Safe R
SD: John Thune vs Tom Daschle: Likely R
UT: Mike Lee vs Misty Snow: Safe R
VT: Patrick Leahy vs Scott Mline: Safe D
WA: Patty Murray vs Chris Vance: Safe D
WI: Ron Johnson vs Russ Feingold: Lean D

D gain: AR, FL, IL, IN, IA, KY, MO, NH, NC, PA, WI

[RC (a la Frémont)]

Winners are highlighted:

Senate election
AL: Richard Shelby vs Parker Griffith (Safe R)
AK: Lisa Murkowski vs Mark Begich (Lean R)
AZ: John McCain vs Ann Kirkpatrick (Lean R)
AR: John Boozman vs Mike Beebe (Lean R)
CA: Kamala Harris vs Loretta Sanchez (Safe Harris)
CO: Michael Bennet vs Darryl Glenn (Safe D)
CT: Dick Blumenthal vsDan Carter (Safe D)
FL: Marco Rubio vs Patrick Murphy (Tilt R)
GA: Johnny Isakson vs Sanford Bishop (Safe R)
HI: Brian Schatz unopposed (Safe D)
ID: Mike Crapo unopposed (Safe R)
IL: Mark Kirk vs Tammy Duckworth (Safe D)
IN: Todd Young vs Evan Bayh (Tilt D)
IA: Chuck Grassley vs Tom Vilsack (Tilt D)
KS: Jerry Moran vs Kathleen Sebelius (Tilt R)
KY: Rand Paul vs Steve Beshear (Tilt D)
LA: John Kennedy vs Mitch Landrieu (Lean R)
MD: Chris Van Hollen vs Kathy Szeliga (Safe D)
MO: Roy Blunt vs Jason Kander (Lean D)
NV: Catherine Cortez-Masto vs Joe Heck (Likely D)
NH: Kelly Ayotte vs Maggie Hassan (Likely D)
NY: Chuck Schumer vs Wendy Long (Safe D)
NC: Richard Burr vs Jeff Jackson (Lean D)
ND: John Hoeven unopposed (Safe R)
OH: Rob Portman vs Tim Ryan (Lean R)
OK: Jim Lankford vs Brad Henry (Safe R)
OR: Ron Wyden vs Mark Callahan (Safe D)
PA: Pat Toomey vs Joe Sestak (Lean D)
SC: Tim Scott vs Thomas Dixon (Safe R)
SD: John Thune vs Tom Daschle (Safe R)
UT: Mike Lee vs Misty Snow (Safe R)
VT: Patrick Leahy vs Scott Mline (Safe D)
WA: Patty Murray vs Chris Vance (Safe D)
WI: Ron Johnson vs Russ Feingold (Lean D)