NC (East Carolina University) - Trump +3

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Trump - 46
Biden - 43
Other - 7
Undecided - 4

1111 RV, Conducted May 7-May 9
https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/presidential-and-senate-races-remain-close-in-north-carolina-cooper-leads-forest-and-earns-high-approval-for-state-s-coronavirus-response

[Bidenworth2020]

Interesting. This result is in conflict with most other state polls we have gotten, NC or otherwise. Throw it into the average, I suppose.

[ElectionWatcher25]

North Carolina will definitely be a competitive state. Looks like we are also going to be seeing a lot of split ticket voting between president and governor. At this point, the senate race and presidential race seem like toss-ups with the governor being at least Lean D or Likely D. And let's be honest, did we expect anything different?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

That's why Dems are targeting AZ, CO, KS, ME and MT, too; consequently, Tillis isn't Burr

[Skill and Chance]

North Carolina will definitely be a competitive state. Looks like we are also going to be seeing a lot of split ticket voting between president and governor. At this point, the senate race and presidential race seem like toss-ups with the governor being at least Lean D or Likely D. And let's be honest, did we expect anything different?

Well, there's been enough polling now to suggest Trump is holding up really well in NC compared to other 2016 competitive states.  Trump doing equally well in NC and Texas is even within the polling range now. 

There also seems to be a meaningful trend emerging of R senate and congressional candidates running behind Trump, which would be the reverse of 2016.

[Bidenworth2020]

North Carolina will definitely be a competitive state. Looks like we are also going to be seeing a lot of split ticket voting between president and governor. At this point, the senate race and presidential race seem like toss-ups with the governor being at least Lean D or Likely D. And let's be honest, did we expect anything different?

Well, there's been enough polling now to suggest Trump is holding up really well in NC compared to other 2016 competitive states.  Trump doing equally well in NC and Texas is even within the polling range now. 

There also seems to be a meaningful trend emerging of R senate and congressional candidates running behind Trump, which would be the reverse of 2016.

Besides like 2 polls, almost every poll I have seen has had Biden with a steady 3-5 point lead.

[LimoLiberal]

These guys had Biden leading 48-46 in late February.

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: North Carolina President by Other Source on 2020-05-09

Summary: D: 43%, R: 46%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[MT Treasurer]

Biden can win NC on a good night, but I really don’t buy that it’s far more likely to flip than GA.

[ProudModerate2]

It's in that range to be competitive.
Believable.

[Podgy the Bear]

Of the three states (GA, NC, FL), none of them will be easy for Biden to flip.   But NC is the toughest.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

These guys had Biden leading 48-46 in late February.

Rain in Wake County.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Of the three states (GA, NC, FL), none of them will be easy for Biden to flip.   But NC is the toughest.

IMO, from easiest to hardest for Biden to flip: FL > NC > GA.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Seems realistic.

[SN2903]

That's more like it!

[Vern]

I doubt this is right. Uni polls suck and in the past would have not ever been posted on this site or added to the polling data base.

[BlueGrassKentuckian]

Not looking good for Team Biden buts its not a must win....I think it will stay competitive but ultimately go to Trump.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I doubt this is right. Uni polls suck and in the past would have not ever been posted on this site or added to the polling data base.

Yeah, a Univ poll just polled FL and has it +6

[BlueSwan]

Of the three states (GA, NC, FL), none of them will be easy for Biden to flip.   But NC is the toughest.

IMO, from easiest to hardest for Biden to flip: FL > NC > GA.