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  Talk Elections
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  2020 Senate & House Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, VirginiŠ)
  Iowa-RABA Research/Mauro internal: Ernst/Mauro tied
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Author Topic: Iowa-RABA Research/Mauro internal: Ernst/Mauro tied  (Read 509 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
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« on: May 14, 2020, 03:02:21 pm »

https://www.thegazette.com/subject/news/senate-race-polll-iowa-eddie-mauro-theresa-greenfield-michael-franken-joni-ernst-20200514

The poll was conducted from May 7 - 9, contacting 632 voters.
Ernst: 42%
Mauro: 42%
They've also released some questions that are effectively concern trolling about other Democratic candidates' weaknesses. It's worth noting the primary poll showing Greenfield dominating was fielded prior to the Des Moines endorsement of Franken and before both Franken and Mauro put up new TV ads.

That said, I don't expect Mauro to come close to securing the nomination.
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Pollster
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« Reply #1 on: May 14, 2020, 03:39:38 pm »

RABA Research is kind of a joke, their schtick is that they're bipartisan, very "both sides"-y. Their numbers are probably reliable, but I'm surprised a Senate candidate (especially one with money) is using them.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #2 on: May 14, 2020, 03:55:05 pm »

If their numbers are reliable, then this poll is notable in one sense; it's the first in the electoral cycle not showing Republicans ahead of Democrats in this race.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #3 on: May 14, 2020, 04:09:10 pm »

Iowa isnt safe R as snowlabrador and MT Treasurer and Xing thinks, Ernst can lose
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Beto/Biden/Allred voter 4 Cornyn's NUT maps
IndyRep
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« Reply #4 on: May 14, 2020, 04:34:05 pm »

Iowa isnt safe R as snowlabrador and MT Treasurer and Xing thinks, Ernst can lose

My reliable retail politics model still has Ernst winning (and only one 99-county tour away from wrapping it up), so we can safely dismiss this Democratic internal poll by desperate Eddie Mauro.

Itís pretty hilarious that heíd release an internal which doesnít even give him a slight lead.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #5 on: May 14, 2020, 04:57:48 pm »

Iowa polls going to Iowa poll
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: May 14, 2020, 06:01:43 pm »

Yet we are in a Pandemic not in a 3.5 percent unemployment rate economy where Ernst would be safe and cruise to reelection.  Workers cant work in Iowa's meatpacking plants due to coronavirus
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Xing
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« Reply #7 on: May 14, 2020, 10:18:13 pm »

OC noticed me!!! Purple heart He didnít get my rating right (I think this is Likely R, not safe), but still, this has to be one of the greatest honors Iíve received during my tenure here on the forum.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #8 on: May 15, 2020, 06:17:36 am »

I also noticed that Solid who has been promoted Greenfield that he hasnt been posting lately. He is the main one that says Greenfield has a chance and she doesnt.

He needs to stand his ground and defend Greenfield, but Greenfield is a B candidate
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Harvey Lee Updyke III🌹
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« Reply #9 on: May 27, 2020, 04:31:35 pm »

New Poll: Iowa Senator by RABA Research on 2020-05-09

Summary: D: 42%, R: 42%, U: 16%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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