CA, OH, TX - Emerson: Biden v.s. Cuomo (user search)
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  CA, OH, TX - Emerson: Biden v.s. Cuomo (search mode)
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Author Topic: CA, OH, TX - Emerson: Biden v.s. Cuomo  (Read 928 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


« on: May 14, 2020, 07:36:20 AM »

I'm not sure why Emerson is doing this as these primaries have been settled, but here we are.

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/ohio-texas-and-california-2020-trump-with-narrow-leads-in-ohio-and-texas-but-has-widespread-expectation-of-being-re-elected

"If you had the choice between Joe Biden and New York Governor Andrew Cuomo to the Democratic nominee who would you choose?"
Sampling dates (all): May 8-10
MoEs not given

CA:
Sample size: 521 Democratic registered voters
Biden 54%
Cuomo 46%

OH:
Sample size: 353 Democratic registered voters
Biden 52%
Cuomo 48%

TX:
Sample size: 387 Democratic registered voters
Cuomo: 51%
Biden: 49%
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


« Reply #1 on: May 14, 2020, 09:17:09 AM »

While these polls aren't practical -- in that a Biden vs. Cuomo race will not be happening, certainly not in states that have already voted -- I think they are a very interesting measure of the level of dissatisfaction there is with Biden as a nominee. And you can't say it's just Bernie Bros, because Cuomo is ideologically aligned with Biden and pulling better numbers  in OH and TX than Bernie ever did.

I think Cuomo is getting inflated support thanks to undeserved good press that would collapse were he to run a national campaign in a post-lockdown environment. Once it got out that he was trying to cut Medicare and being attacked from the left by Schumer of all people, there'd be a reassessment within media that's currently lauding praise on him.

In the UK, we're already beginning to see a reassessment of the competence of our own government's response. When the dust settles, I predict a lot of inflated favourability ratings are going to go down across the world.
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