brucejoel99
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Posts: 19,739
Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
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« on: May 12, 2020, 05:28:54 PM » |
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Assuming Bush isn't forced to resign as well, I'd think that Dukakis would win, especially since Bush wouldn't have Reagan making his dramatic "Gipper" speech at the convention; remember, before the convention, Dukakis was up by 15 points in the polls.
On another note, Bush came in 3rd in IA, behind Dole & Pat Robertson, & for a time, it looked like Dole would beat him in NH too, so if he were potentially even less popular in this scenario, then Bush could very well lose the nomination to Dole, or at least get embroiled in a hard-fought, nasty primary that leaves him further weakened than he was in real life.
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