2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Wisconsin (user search)
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  2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Wisconsin (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Wisconsin  (Read 41093 times)
Former President tack50
tack50
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« on: June 25, 2020, 05:17:39 AM »

Can't view it but your name is an oxymoron, no compromise map will have any competitive districts, unless if its just WI 3 to a degree.

You can make WI-01 competitive easily by taking in South Milwaukee (and indeed it'd even be a tilt/lean D district). Not sure if a compromise or bipartisan map would do that, but it is a possibility.

Anyways here is a quick, mostly fair map with 2 competitive districts. I will recognize this is probably one of the more Dem-friendly configurations that can still be defended that are not gerrymanders. Basically a 4R-2D-2S map.

https://davesredistricting.org/join/762f66fe-91cb-43ea-bb0b-7e6f8ebcb614



WI-01: Clinton+2, Evers+3, D+1
WI-02: Clinton+49, Evers+44, D+18
WI-03: Trump+3, Evers+4, D+1
WI-04: Clinton+38, Evers+34, D+17 (49% white, 35% black, 10% hispanic)
WI-05: Trump+28, Walker+33, R+16
WI-06: Trump+17, Walker+15, R+7
WI-07: Trump+19, Walker+14, R+7
WI-08: Trump+17, Walker+14, R+6

I suppose competitive districts are not in either party's favour though and both Republicans and Democrats would prefer a fixed 5R-3D map instead?
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Former President tack50
tack50
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« Reply #1 on: June 25, 2020, 08:59:47 AM »

Can't view it but your name is an oxymoron, no compromise map will have any competitive districts, unless if its just WI 3 to a degree.

You can make WI-01 competitive easily by taking in South Milwaukee (and indeed it'd even be a tilt/lean D district). Not sure if a compromise or bipartisan map would do that, but it is a possibility.

Anyways here is a quick, mostly fair map with 2 competitive districts. I will recognize this is probably one of the more Dem-friendly configurations that can still be defended that are not gerrymanders. Basically a 4R-2D-2S map.

https://davesredistricting.org/join/762f66fe-91cb-43ea-bb0b-7e6f8ebcb614



WI-01: Clinton+2, Evers+3, D+1
WI-02: Clinton+49, Evers+44, D+18
WI-03: Trump+3, Evers+4, D+1
WI-04: Clinton+38, Evers+34, D+17 (49% white, 35% black, 10% hispanic)
WI-05: Trump+28, Walker+33, R+16
WI-06: Trump+17, Walker+15, R+7
WI-07: Trump+19, Walker+14, R+7
WI-08: Trump+17, Walker+14, R+6

I suppose competitive districts are not in either party's favour though and both Republicans and Democrats would prefer a fixed 5R-3D map instead?
Is there a way I can insert the picture of my map on here from DRA?

What I tend to do is just capture a screenshot, crop it and then upload it to any image hosting website (and link it here).
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Former President tack50
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« Reply #2 on: June 25, 2020, 12:49:25 PM »

In fairness, even if you only split the county of Milwaukee (but not the city itself) the 1st district still (narrowly) remains a swing district, albeit now one that is more like Lean R (Both Trump and Walker win by around 4.5 points)

This does mean that the 4th district goes from 49 to 43% white (and up to 36% black).
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Former President tack50
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« Reply #3 on: July 20, 2020, 08:27:34 AM »

The thing about Wisconsin is that its geography is absolutely miserable for the Democrats. Like this would 100% be a map that you could argue is fair, yet it is a 6R-2D map (although 2 R districts are winnable by Dems)



The swingy districts are all Trump by decent sized margins and all but the 7th also went for Walker by decent margins (and you can make the 7th go Walker by a decent amount easily, though that is more arguably a gerrymander)

WI-01: Trump+7, Walker+7, R+4
WI-03: Trump+14, Walker+10, R+5
WI-06: Trump+10, Walker+8, R+4
WI-07: Trump+9, Walker+2, R+2

It will not happen because the Dem governor would veto it, but Dems are incredibly packed into just 2 counties

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Former President tack50
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« Reply #4 on: February 07, 2021, 07:59:33 AM »

Not going to happen, but if instead of fighting each other, Republicans and Democrats decided to cooperate and do an "incumbent protection" map, here is how it would look like:



WI-01: Trump+13, Walker+12, R+7
WI-02: Clinton+17, Evers+22, D+9
WI-03: Clinton+15, Evers+21, D+8
WI-04: Clinton+52, Evers+50, D+25 (43% white, 36% black)
WI-05: Trump+12, Walker+16, R+8
WI-06: Trump+22, Walker+24, R+11
WI-07: Trump+18, Walker+12, R+6
WI-08: Trump+18, Walker+14, R+7

Really, splitting Madison makes "incumbent protection" extremely easy.
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