Change Research/CNBC: Trump +3 in "Battleground States"
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  Change Research/CNBC: Trump +3 in "Battleground States"
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Author Topic: Change Research/CNBC: Trump +3 in "Battleground States"  (Read 814 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: May 06, 2020, 09:54:46 AM »
« edited: May 06, 2020, 09:58:51 AM by wbrocks67 »

Everyone loves these - especially when they are with Change Research!

CNBC/Change Research Poll in Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin: May 1-3, 2020

Trump 48
Biden 45

Should make it clear though that this sample seems VERY pro-Trump. Just look at the favorable ratings:

Donald Trump 46/50 (-4)
Joe Biden 36/55 (-19)
Bernie Sanders 32/55 (-23)

Trump's approval in this poll is also 49/51 which... does not align at all with other specific battleground polls we've gotten.

https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-4

EDIT: The sample is 2016 Trump +1, so yes, a little pro-Trump
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: May 06, 2020, 09:56:36 AM »

Also, these approval ratings on handling of the virus seem again, off... from where we've seen recent polls.

Trump: 48/52 (-4)
AZ Gov. Doug Ducey (R): 55/45 (+10)
FL Gov. Ron DeSantis (R): 49/51 (-2)
NC Gov. Roy Cooper (D): 53/47 (+6)
MI Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D): 51/49 (+2)
PA Gov. Tom Wolf (D): 52/48 (+4)
WI Gov. Tony Evers (D): 52/48 (+4)

SO you can probably junk it.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #2 on: May 06, 2020, 10:00:39 AM »

It's Change Research. Why even bother?
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #3 on: May 06, 2020, 10:04:15 AM »

Gee, I hate these "battleground state polls". Why not release specific numbers?

Anyway, since Biden needs less battlegrounds to win, if he's up 3, he should be fine in November. Can't hide a loud "meh" for Change Research though.
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Roblox
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« Reply #4 on: May 06, 2020, 12:09:55 PM »

Running for President on a platform of banning combined "battleground states" polls.
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Gracile
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« Reply #5 on: May 06, 2020, 01:09:30 PM »

"Battleground States" polls are the most pointless thing in the world.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: May 06, 2020, 01:33:19 PM »

I hate polls that overstate support for candidates
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #7 on: May 06, 2020, 06:27:37 PM »

If it wasn't Change Research I would have a sinking feeling in my stomach right about now.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #8 on: May 06, 2020, 06:28:14 PM »

Yeah this is exactly where the race is at, not plus 10
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