NY, NJ, CT-Quinnipiac: Biden +23, +19, +23
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  NY, NJ, CT-Quinnipiac: Biden +23, +19, +23
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Author Topic: NY, NJ, CT-Quinnipiac: Biden +23, +19, +23  (Read 2032 times)
LimoLiberal
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« on: May 06, 2020, 02:12:46 PM »

New York

Biden - 55
Trump - 32

New Jersey

Biden - 54
Trump - 35

Connecticut

Biden - 56
Trump - 33

https://poll.qu.edu/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=3660

"Biden blue state blowout"
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: May 06, 2020, 02:15:55 PM »

Quelle surprise ...
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anthonyjg
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« Reply #2 on: May 06, 2020, 02:20:41 PM »

Yeah not exactly surprising, but it is interesting that his share in the national average is right where Clinton was all while being several points behind her in New York.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #3 on: May 06, 2020, 02:21:44 PM »

Why poll these states?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4 on: May 06, 2020, 02:22:24 PM »

Boooooring.

But anyway, I doubt that Biden will win New York only by 23.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #5 on: May 06, 2020, 02:25:02 PM »

Yeah not exactly surprising, but it is interesting that his share in the national average is right where Clinton was all while being several points behind her in New York.

Iím not sure what this means.  Clinton won NY by 22, and NJ and CT by 14.   So heís basically even with Clinton in NY and well ahead of her in the the other two.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #6 on: May 06, 2020, 02:28:36 PM »

It'll be interesting to see how much Connecticut snaps back in 2020. Hillary actually did better in NJ than she did in CT in 2016.
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Darthpi Ė Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #7 on: May 06, 2020, 02:35:12 PM »


It's worth making sure you aren't missing any surprises, even if you don't need to poll them quite as often. Also, much of this poll is about the Coronavirus outbreak, which has been worst in the New York metro area.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #8 on: May 06, 2020, 02:43:17 PM »


It's worth making sure you aren't missing any surprises, even if you don't need to poll them quite as often. Also, much of this poll is about the Coronavirus outbreak, which has been worst in the New York metro area.

That's true. Not only bad in New York but also New Jersey.
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anthonyjg
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« Reply #9 on: May 06, 2020, 02:47:57 PM »

Yeah not exactly surprising, but it is interesting that his share in the national average is right where Clinton was all while being several points behind her in New York.

Iím not sure what this means.  Clinton won NY by 22, and NJ and CT by 14.   So heís basically even with Clinton in NY and well ahead of her in the the other two.

I was looking at it in terms of raw vote share. Clinton got just under 60 in New York and 48 nationwide. If Bidenís at 48 nationwide still but only 55 in New York, he would presumably be pulling votes from somewhere else, hopefully not safe states.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #10 on: May 06, 2020, 02:50:08 PM »

I'm gonna assume those voters who are undecided in the NY poll lean Biden, since if he's blowing margins out in places like NJ, CO, CT, and other places, his NY margin is probably closer to 30
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #11 on: May 06, 2020, 02:56:25 PM »

Would be nice to see NY and CT in the Atlas >60% red shade again. Never forget Cry

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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #12 on: May 06, 2020, 03:00:48 PM »

Beautiful! Thank you, Northeastern America!
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #13 on: May 06, 2020, 03:15:33 PM »

Yeah not exactly surprising, but it is interesting that his share in the national average is right where Clinton was all while being several points behind her in New York.

Iím not sure what this means.  Clinton won NY by 22, and NJ and CT by 14.   So heís basically even with Clinton in NY and well ahead of her in the the other two.

I was looking at it in terms of raw vote share. Clinton got just under 60 in New York and 48 nationwide. If Bidenís at 48 nationwide still but only 55 in New York, he would presumably be pulling votes from somewhere else, hopefully not safe states.

Well, Clinton had something of a home state claim to NYers, as did Trump.  All else being equal, I expected the NY margin to narrow with a Dem who never lived there.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #14 on: May 06, 2020, 03:17:52 PM »

Yeah not exactly surprising, but it is interesting that his share in the national average is right where Clinton was all while being several points behind her in New York.

Iím not sure what this means.  Clinton won NY by 22, and NJ and CT by 14.   So heís basically even with Clinton in NY and well ahead of her in the the other two.

I was looking at it in terms of raw vote share. Clinton got just under 60 in New York and 48 nationwide. If Bidenís at 48 nationwide still but only 55 in New York, he would presumably be pulling votes from somewhere else, hopefully not safe states.

Throughout 2016, Hillary regularly polled in the mid-50s in NY. I wouldn't read too much into it.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #15 on: May 06, 2020, 06:17:56 PM »

Sure, these states will all be safe D states but it does make me feel proud of my state that it could match Obama's margin of victory of 2012 again for Biden. Especially in the midst of that Colorado poll from yesterday that had Biden winning it to the left of the last New Jersey poll. I just don't see how Colorado votes Democratic by that much when New Jersey doesn't.

But really, the Tri-State area will not be kind to Trump this year. That's looking truer than ever.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #16 on: May 06, 2020, 06:28:04 PM »

Comparable Quinnipiac polls at this point in time in 2016 (5-6 months before the election)

New Jersey - source

Clinton - 45%
Trump - 38%

Connecticut - source

Clinton - 41%
Trump - 36%

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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #17 on: May 06, 2020, 08:19:34 PM »

Never really understood why some people think CT is trending Republican in the long run. Itís honestly one of the last states in the Northeast where Iíd expect a GOP resurgence.
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Suburbia
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« Reply #18 on: May 06, 2020, 08:56:04 PM »


I want to know if Trump will overperform with the white ethnic cops and firefighters
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #19 on: May 06, 2020, 09:00:33 PM »

Never really understood why some people think CT is trending Republican in the long run. Itís honestly one of the last states in the Northeast where Iíd expect a GOP resurgence.

Same with Rhode Island. Theyíre too urban to vote Republican on the presidential level.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #20 on: May 06, 2020, 09:37:19 PM »
« Edited: May 06, 2020, 09:41:52 PM by pbrower2a »

Comparable Quinnipiac polls at this point in time in 2016 (5-6 months before the election)

New Jersey - source

Clinton - 45%
Trump - 38%

Connecticut - source

Clinton - 41%
Trump - 36%




The prospective vote for Trump is 3% less in both states than it was four years ago, 15% higher for Biden than for Clinton in Connecticut and 9% higher for Biden than for Clinton in New Jersey at the same time.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #21 on: May 07, 2020, 06:27:05 PM »

Never really understood why some people think CT is trending Republican in the long run. Itís honestly one of the last states in the Northeast where Iíd expect a GOP resurgence.

Because Lamuhnt and Muhlloy!
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #22 on: May 08, 2020, 12:05:04 PM »

New Poll: New York President by Quinnipiac University on 2020-05-04

Summary: D: 55%, R: 32%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #23 on: May 08, 2020, 12:05:38 PM »

New Poll: New Jersey President by Quinnipiac University on 2020-05-04

Summary: D: 54%, R: 35%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #24 on: May 08, 2020, 12:06:19 PM »

New Poll: Connecticut President by Quinnipiac University on 2020-05-04

Summary: D: 56%, R: 33%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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