Rate West Virginia

[ElectionsGuy]

Vote or change vote in previous threads here:

IN MO MT NH NC VT

Ratings

No Election: 46.6% of population, 20 states
Safe Dem: 2.6% of population, 2 states
Likely Dem: 3.2% of population, 1 state
Lean Dem:
Toss-Up/Tilt Dem:
Toss-Up/Tilt Rep: 0.3% of population, 1 state
Lean Rep:
Likely Rep: 2.5% of population, 3 states
Safe Rep: 3.3% of population, 3 states
No Election: 41.0% of population, 19 states

Predictions

Democratic: 52.4% of population, 23 states
Republican: 46.9% of population, 26 states

[One Term Floridian]

With the approval numbers of governors going up all over the country, I wouldn’t be surprised if not a single gubernatorial seat switched parties this year.

[😥]

Likely R, closer to Lean R than Safe

[MT Treasurer]

You should have (at the very least) added a Tossup option here.

[Lechasseur]

With the approval numbers of governors going up all over the country, I wouldn’t be surprised if not a single gubernatorial seat switched parties this year.

This

I'm convinced every single incumbent governor running for re-election this year will win reelection.

And obviously Utah is Safe R.

The only state where there's a serious chance of it flipping this year is Montana, and that's an open election.

On the other hand I expect quite a few seat to flip in the Senate this year (absolute minimum 4 imo).

When's the last time every incumbent governor who ran that cycle won?

[Lechasseur]

But to answer this question:

Safe R

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe R

[Alben Barkley]

Who is gonna beat Jim Justice? Manchin was the only one with a chance, and he’s not running. Even he’d be an underdog with Trump on the ballot.

As it is, safe R.

[Xing]

Likely R out of caution, but if Justice’s approval stays higher than it was before, then it’ll probably be Safe R.

[S019]

Safe R, Justice is not losing

[Epaminondas]

When's the last time every incumbent governor who ran that cycle won?

Unless I'm mistaken, no incumbent governor has lost in the election years of 2012 and 2008, nor in the off-years of 2017, 2015, 2011, 2005 and 2001.

[MontenegroPH]

Safe R. Justice gets another four years.

[Fuzzy Bear]

Titanium R, but it didn't have to be.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Justice 70 percent

[Esteemed Jimmy]

Safe R

[Gracile]

Safe R.

[jamestroll]

Any incumbent governor is safe for 2020 and many in 2022 have received. But for the nations sake I hope the coronavirus is not in the news daily for the 2022 midterms.

[SnowLabrador]

Safe R. As soon as Manchin declined, it became Safe R.

[Fuzzy Bear]

Titanium R.

[ElectionsGuy]

I actually voted Likely R out of an abundance of caution because I've seen figures before suggesting Justice is not very popular. I was also completely wrong about the governor race in 2016 (predicting Cole) and wrong about Kentucky in 2019 for a similar reason. I don't know if that's true anymore, but even if it isn't I think Safe R might be a little too bold right now.

[DINGO Joe]

Justice is the same crook that he was when he got elected (like the other coal barons left) and WV is going nowhere but down, but can't imagine the WV voter willing to try something different.

[LiberalDem19]

West Virginia's not voting for a Democrat. This is Safe R

[Orwell]

Im still holding out hope our lord and savior Carte Goodwin will return and rescue us from this hellish fate