NC- Civiqs: CAL +9
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Author Topic: NC- Civiqs: CAL +9  (Read 1991 times)
libertpaulian
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« on: May 05, 2020, 09:54:45 AM »

Decent numbers for Biden here too, and Cooper continues to maintain his lead, although Forest is polling here a bit better than other polls as of late.

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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #1 on: May 05, 2020, 10:05:54 AM »

Tilt D.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #2 on: May 05, 2020, 10:56:38 AM »

This year is shaping up to be even worse for the GOP than 2018. Looks like the bottom really is falling out.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #3 on: May 05, 2020, 11:19:15 AM »

Tillis has only led 2 polls, and one of those was an R poll

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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: May 05, 2020, 11:25:34 AM »

Rs keep saying this is Tilt R though
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Libertas Vel Mors
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« Reply #5 on: May 05, 2020, 11:27:03 AM »

Under 44s 2016 % of NC Electorate -- 44%
Under 44s % of this Poll -- 51%
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Lisa's voting Biden
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« Reply #6 on: May 05, 2020, 12:16:28 PM »

Under 44s 2016 % of NC Electorate -- 44%
Under 44s % of this Poll -- 51%
Most other polls have Cunningham leading too. Tillis, for now, is set to lose.
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windjammer
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« Reply #7 on: May 05, 2020, 12:27:07 PM »

Lol so Schumer didn't screw up that much in recruiting Cunningham.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #8 on: May 05, 2020, 12:42:37 PM »

Lol so Schumer didn't screw up that much in recruiting Cunningham.

I never understood why people thought Cunningham wasn't a good recruit. I always thought he'd be solid.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #9 on: May 05, 2020, 01:20:55 PM »

Six months to go, but yeah, this looks pretty good. Democrats have a real shot taking the senate and ousting Cocaine Mitch this November. Can we now see some more polls out of Maine?


Lol so Schumer didn't screw up that much in recruiting Cunningham.

Not praising him too much before the results are in, but it seems Schumer was done a great job with recruitments this year. He also pushed Steve Bullock to jump in and got Obama to pick up the phone for Bullock.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #10 on: May 05, 2020, 01:25:26 PM »

Lol so Schumer didn't screw up that much in recruiting Cunningham.

I never understood why people thought Cunningham wasn't a good recruit. I always thought he'd be solid.

He's not very well-known and hasn't held office in a long time. But apparently it doesn't matter that much.
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Xing
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« Reply #11 on: May 05, 2020, 02:13:44 PM »

Under 44s 2016 % of NC Electorate -- 44%
Under 44s % of this Poll -- 51%

Sure, Cunningham probably isnít winning by 9, but hard to argue that this isnít a(nother) terrible poll for Tillis, and suggests he could lose even if Trump wins NC.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #12 on: May 05, 2020, 02:36:38 PM »

Most of the difference between Tillis and Trump can be explained by the base not liking Tillis, but ultimately his approval is terrible and Cunningham isn't really hated by the R base yet (as can be seen by his favorability, many 'don't know'). Ultimately, I do think Tillis will run 2-3 points behind Trump though given his issues.

And Burr should resign.
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Gracile
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« Reply #13 on: May 05, 2020, 02:46:31 PM »

Lol so Schumer didn't screw up that much in recruiting Cunningham.

I never understood why people thought Cunningham wasn't a good recruit. I always thought he'd be solid.

Tbh he is somewhat of a B-tier recruit (hasn't held elected office in over a decade + there were more compelling options like Jackson or Stein), but at the end of the day it might not matter if the headwinds against the GOP are this severe come November.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #14 on: May 05, 2020, 02:56:01 PM »

Sometimes recruits that looked mediocre turn out to be strong when the campaign begins (like no one really had much hope for Beto in Texas in 2017, he was just a random backbench congressman). Cunningham definitely seems to be doing something right; it's not like a generic D vs generic R in NC should be resulting in a D+9 margin.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #15 on: May 05, 2020, 03:41:12 PM »

Remember Kay Hagan? She knocked out Elizabeth Dole in 2008.

Nobody thought she was a good recruit. After all, she was just some random state senator. Not even a congresswoman. Not even a state elected official.
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tagimaucia
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« Reply #16 on: May 05, 2020, 03:45:52 PM »

Under 44s 2016 % of NC Electorate -- 44%
Under 44s % of this Poll -- 51%

There is no under 44 category in this poll.  It has 51% under *49*, which according to the 2016 exit poll were 54-55% of the NC electorate...
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Politician
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« Reply #17 on: May 05, 2020, 03:59:10 PM »

Frenchrepublican right now

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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #18 on: May 05, 2020, 04:07:09 PM »
« Edited: May 05, 2020, 04:10:32 PM by Cory Booker »

The Rs dont believe D win conquest the Senate, MT Treasurer still doesn't believe Collins is DOA
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #19 on: May 05, 2020, 04:43:52 PM »

This year is shaping up to be even worse for the GOP than 2018. Looks like the bottom really is falling out.

Itís May though.

If this shows any signs of improving I think we jump right back into POTUS Tilt R, Likely D house, Likely R senate. If the path continues like now though yes
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voice_of_resistance
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« Reply #20 on: May 05, 2020, 04:56:15 PM »


With NC i can actually see Trump winning it narrowly while Cooper and Cunningham win. But yes this race is Tilt D.
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #21 on: May 05, 2020, 05:03:16 PM »

This year is shaping up to be even worse for the GOP than 2018. Looks like the bottom really is falling out.

Itís May though.

If this shows any signs of improving I think we jump right back into POTUS Tilt R, Likely D house, Likely R senate. If the path continues like now though yes


The minimum in a 278 EC map AZ, CO, ME and NC flips it wont be a tilt R Senate.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #22 on: May 05, 2020, 06:13:13 PM »

Also a plus for Cunningham is that he's running a campaign that's suitable for his state.  It's a vast contrast to Deborah Ross, who campaigned like she was running in New Jersey.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #23 on: May 05, 2020, 06:17:36 PM »

Remember Kay Hagan? She knocked out Elizabeth Dole in 2008.

Nobody thought she was a good recruit. After all, she was just some random state senator. Not even a congresswoman. Not even a state elected official.

Hopefully we can trick Tillis's campaign into releasing a deranged, last minute attack ad accusing the Democrat of being a godless atheist again here.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
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« Reply #24 on: May 05, 2020, 06:46:49 PM »

Six months to go, but yeah, this looks pretty good. Democrats have a real shot taking the senate and ousting Cocaine Mitch this November. Can we now see some more polls out of Maine?


Lol so Schumer didn't screw up that much in recruiting Cunningham.

Not praising him too much before the results are in, but it seems Schumer was done a great job with recruitments this year. He also pushed Steve Bullock to jump in and got Obama to pick up the phone for Bullock.

IA, GA, and TX are disappointing though. Jon Ossoff is seriously the best Dems can do?
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