MT-MSU: Bullock +7 (user search)
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  MT-MSU: Bullock +7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MT-MSU: Bullock +7  (Read 2457 times)
lfromnj
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« on: May 05, 2020, 08:12:36 AM »
« edited: May 05, 2020, 08:32:03 AM by lfromnj »


Quote
Daines leads among men, 53 percent to 40 percent, among those with a high-school diploma or less, and among two income groups: Those earning $30,000 to $50,000 a year (by six percentage points) and those earning more than $150,000 a year (by 24 percentage points

NUT #populism Purple heart

Anyway looking at the pollls it looks like Bullock is running ahead of Biden by around 10-15 points right now, I can see Montana being within 10-15 points presidentially, with a reverse incumbency trend as has been the case in that state for almost every year but 1992. However I think  its probably too WWC rn  for Biden to get much closer than 10 so if a slight amount of polarization sets in for Bullock he can't win the race anymore and loses by around 5 poiints,however its possible especially with coronavirus he can keep that lead.  I think his vanity run for president does hurt him a bit .
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1 on: May 05, 2020, 06:06:37 PM »

I’m sorry there’s no way.

Can he win? Yes. Hell it might be time to move this from Tilt R to Tossup.

But by 7? No way.

*i do like Montana though. I respect Red states that can be reasonably bipartisan (unlike those nuts in Tennessee who elected the worst senate candidate against a terrific one in 18)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_United_States_House_of_Representatives_election_in_Montana

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_United_States_Senate_election_in_Montana

Montana swing voters are anything but reasonable.
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