PPP (Iowa): Ernst +1 (user search)
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  PPP (Iowa): Ernst +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP (Iowa): Ernst +1  (Read 2666 times)
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,307
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Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« on: May 04, 2020, 02:45:02 PM »
Ernst is still definitely favored here, and I doubt this gets too interesting barring a wave, but the fact that she’s underperforming Trump (even if just barely) doesn’t suggest she’s headed for a 20-point win. I’d say she’s probably going to win by about her 2014 margin. Likely R, not the most promising race for Democrats, but not completely safe for Ernst.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: May 10, 2020, 03:45:39 PM »
If Ernst were to lose (unlikely, but not impossible in a wave), I think Udall would be a better comparison, given the way CO trended and IA is trending.
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