TX-University of Texas/Tyler: Texas = swing state

[Tender Branson]

43% Biden
43% Trump

The Dallas Morning News/UT Tyler Poll reflects a statewide random sample of 1,183 registered voters between April 18 and April 27. The mixed mode sample includes 192 registered voters who were surveyed by the Center for Opinion Research over the phone and 995 registered voters that were randomly selected from a panel of registered voters that have opted-in to take surveys through a company called Dynata. The online and phone surveys were conducted in English and Spanish.

https://www.dallasnews.com/news/public-health/2020/05/02/texans-wary-of-flying-because-of-coronavirus-cautious-about-in-person-shopping-dallas-news-ut-tyler-poll-shows

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

TX is a purple state, believe it or not Rs

[ajc0918]

The GOP will need to spend heavily in Texas to ensure its victory. This is great news for the Biden campaign.

[Nyvin]

Reminder that no 2016 poll found Clinton tied or leading in Texas.

[wbrocks67]

And yet we still have people complaining that PPP is some terrible polling outfit when they had basically the same result

[indietraveler]

It's time to start investing in TX.

[Podgy the Bear]

Get Bloomberg to put in money there to move swing districts and possibly pick up enough seats to take the state House.  This will have huge ramifications for the coming decade.

[cvparty]

frenchrepublican exploded

[Rookie Yinzer]

I think we're headed for a Biden/Cornyn result out of Texas.

[OneJ]

NUT!

However, we'll get a better picture of what things will look like here in this state come September/October though.

[krb08]

Another high quality poll out of Texas, another poll showing it competitive. Polls underestimated Democrats there in 2016 and 2018, and more polls have shown Biden in the lead than showed O'Rourke in the lead in 2018.

It's hard for people to admit because it's such a strange thought, but Texas could flip in November, and will at the very least be a competitive state. Obviously, as we get closer to November, the polls could get better for Trump, but polls for Democrats in Texas have not looked as good as this in recent memory.

[pppolitics]

Another high quality poll out of Texas, another poll showing it competitive. Polls underestimated Democrats there in 2016 and 2018, and more polls have shown Biden in the lead than showed O'Rourke in the lead in 2018.

It's hard for people to admit because it's such a strange thought, but Texas could flip in November, and will at the very least be a competitive state. Obviously, as we get closer to November, the race could tighten, but polls for Democrats in Texas have not looked as good as this in recent memory.

The problem is that Texas is a very expensive state to campaign in.

Let's say that it takes $500 million to flip Texas, how are Democrats going to pay for it?

[Podgy the Bear]

Another high quality poll out of Texas, another poll showing it competitive. Polls underestimated Democrats there in 2016 and 2018, and more polls have shown Biden in the lead than showed O'Rourke in the lead in 2018.

It's hard for people to admit because it's such a strange thought, but Texas could flip in November, and will at the very least be a competitive state. Obviously, as we get closer to November, the race could tighten, but polls for Democrats in Texas have not looked as good as this in recent memory.

The problem is that Texas is a very expensive state to campaign in.

Let's say that it takes $500 million to flip Texas, how are Democrats going to pay for it?

Bloomberg!   It will be a better ROI than the disaster that was his presidential campaign.

[OSR stands with Israel]

As of now this election is shaping up to be 2008

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yes, all Dems have to do is wait for FL to be called for Biden and it's all over. It's the first Trump state up for election

[indietraveler]

Another high quality poll out of Texas, another poll showing it competitive. Polls underestimated Democrats there in 2016 and 2018, and more polls have shown Biden in the lead than showed O'Rourke in the lead in 2018.

It's hard for people to admit because it's such a strange thought, but Texas could flip in November, and will at the very least be a competitive state. Obviously, as we get closer to November, the race could tighten, but polls for Democrats in Texas have not looked as good as this in recent memory.

The problem is that Texas is a very expensive state to campaign in.

Let's say that it takes $500 million to flip Texas, how are Democrats going to pay for it?

Bloomberg!   It will be a better ROI than the disaster that was his presidential campaign.

Really this is what he should have been doing the whole time if he wanted to be useful.

TX would be expensive and even if they don't compete for it like in other states (which they shouldn't) it's still time and money well spent - there's house races, the state house, etc. Plus there are probably tons of untapped voters in TX who might not even be registered which is where the focus should be pushed. New residents moving in, younger voters, people who have sat on the sidelines because they live in a "red state" - lots of potential here.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

I think we're headed for a Biden/Cornyn result out of Texas.

Honestly I think Hegar can win too. I dont get why people think she's a bad candidate. She actually matched Betos percentage.

[ProudModerate2]

Biden taking Texas would be awesome.
trump would be furious, throwing tantrums from November, until his ass is out in January.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

2008 has arrived for Ds with 20 percent unemployment.  Trumpism is over and Biden will do a fair job in rebuilding

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

I think we're headed for a Biden/Cornyn result out of Texas.

Honestly I think Hegar can win too. I dont get why people think she's a bad candidate. She actually matched Betos performance in her district, unlike Ortiz, Allred and several others.

[pbrower2a]

Texas is becoming more like America as a whole. That is bad new for any Presidential candidate who is out of touch with America because that means 38 electoral votes could swing wildly.

Trump is out of touch now. I can't say that Texas is faring worse than other states, but Donald Trump is the most obnoxious d@mnyankee that anyone could know. Sure I say this from Michigan, but I used to live in Texas. You don't want to be a d@mnyankee in Texas.

[Politician]

As of now this election is shaping up to be 1980

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

If it was 48%/48% that would be great, but the percentages are too low, and southern undecideds almost always break for the Republican. Clinton and Dole were both at 41% in TX in September 1996.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If either Castro ran for the seat, it would be a sure bet

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

A lot of polls like this lately. Hard to say if it holds up the whole way until November, but definitely need to pay attention to it.