GA-05: John Lewis' future successor

[Suburbia]

The great Rep. John Lewis, a black civil rights icon, is seen as someone who will retire in 2022 or 2024. Who is Lewis' successor, should he retire?

[Greedo punched first]

Keisha Lance Bottoms?

[Storr]

Stacey Abrams' state house district is in Lewis' Congressional district. If she wanted to go to Congress, she definitely has the name recognition and political clout following her 2018 Governor's race to win a likely crowded Democratic primary field.

[Greedo punched first]

Doesn’t Jon Ossoff live in the district?

[brucejoel99]

Stacey Abrams' state house district is in Lewis' Congressional district. If she wanted to go to Congress, she definitely has the name recognition and political clout following her 2018 Governor's race to win a likely crowded Democratic primary field.

And this would probably be her only legitimate hope of continuing her political career at this point because there's no way in hell that she's able to win a re-match with Kemp after her blatant campaign for VP.

[Upstater]

Stacey Abrams' state house district is in Lewis' Congressional district. If she wanted to go to Congress, she definitely has the name recognition and political clout following her 2018 Governor's race to win a likely crowded Democratic primary field.

And this would probably be her only legitimate hope of continuing her political career at this point because there's no way in hell that she's able to win a re-match with Kemp after her blatant campaign for VP.

Most Georgia voters will forget about her VP campaign by the end of the year.

[brucejoel99]

Stacey Abrams' state house district is in Lewis' Congressional district. If she wanted to go to Congress, she definitely has the name recognition and political clout following her 2018 Governor's race to win a likely crowded Democratic primary field.

And this would probably be her only legitimate hope of continuing her political career at this point because there's no way in hell that she's able to win a re-match with Kemp after her blatant campaign for VP.

Most Georgia voters will forget about her VP campaign by the end of the year.

Considering how close 2018 was, "most Georgia voters" forgetting about it wouldn't be good enough. She'd need all Georgia voters (& then some) to forget about her VP campaign by the 2022 election. Not happening, especially if/when Kemp attempts to hammer it home over & over again.

[Quincy Kelley]

Abrams will succeed Lewis in the House & stay there .

[Badger]

Keisha Lance Bottoms?

That would be something of a demotion, wouldn't it?

[Greedo punched first]

Keisha Lance Bottoms?

That would be something of a demotion, wouldn't it?

No. Federal level is higher than municipal level.

[SevenEleven]

Keisha Lance Bottoms?

That would be something of a demotion, wouldn't it?

No. Federal level is higher than municipal level.

Who says?

[Greedo punched first]

Keisha Lance Bottoms?

That would be something of a demotion, wouldn't it?

No. Federal level is higher than municipal level.

Who says?

Me. Senate is highest statewide. Next is governor. Next is other statewide. Next is House. Next is state legislature. Next is mayor.

[brucejoel99]

Keisha Lance Bottoms?

That would be something of a demotion, wouldn't it?

No. Federal level is higher than municipal level.

Who says?

Me. Senate is highest statewide. Next is governor. Next is other statewide. Next is House. Next is state legislature. Next is mayor.

It's all subjective, but c'mon: the GA state legislature would be a step down from Mayor of Atlanta.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Mayor to House usually is a promotion yes, but there's a line where it's not anymore. deBlasio won't run for congress, Lightfoot won't, Breed probably not either, etc.

cities over I'd say... 500k are where it gets fuzzy. Mayors of cities that size govern over as many people as Gov. Mark Gordon. In congress most reps are just unheard unseen nobodies. Mayors on the other hand, with a large enough city you are seen far more often.


Of course this is mainly talking about non-figurehead type mayors. Wayne Messam for example would unequivocally be promoted if he ran for house and won because Miramar has a pretty powerless mayor from my understanding.

[Greedo punched first]

Mayor to House usually is a promotion yes, but there's a line where it's not anymore. deBlasio won't run for congress, Lightfoot won't, Breed probably not either, etc.

cities over I'd say... 500k are where it gets fuzzy. Mayors of cities that size govern over as many people as Gov. Mark Gordon. In congress most reps are just unheard unseen nobodies. Mayors on the other hand, with a large enough city you are seen far more often.


Of course this is mainly talking about non-figurehead type mayors. Wayne Messam for example would unequivocally be promoted if he ran for house and won because Miramar has a pretty powerless mayor from my understanding.

Isn’t Greg Stanton being elected to AZ-09 a promotion because Phoenix has a weak mayor system?

[Upstater]

Stacey Abrams' state house district is in Lewis' Congressional district. If she wanted to go to Congress, she definitely has the name recognition and political clout following her 2018 Governor's race to win a likely crowded Democratic primary field.

And this would probably be her only legitimate hope of continuing her political career at this point because there's no way in hell that she's able to win a re-match with Kemp after her blatant campaign for VP.

Most Georgia voters will forget about her VP campaign by the end of the year.

Considering how close 2018 was, "most Georgia voters" forgetting about it wouldn't be good enough. She'd need all Georgia voters (& then some) to forget about her VP campaign by the 2022 election. Not happening, especially if/when Kemp attempts to hammer it home over & over again.

Kemp has to do some serious work to repair his reputation before he can even think about her VP campaign.

[SevenEleven]

Keisha Lance Bottoms?

That would be something of a demotion, wouldn't it?

No. Federal level is higher than municipal level.

Who says?

Me. Senate is highest statewide. Next is governor. Next is other statewide. Next is House. Next is state legislature. Next is mayor.

Yikes.

A state has a single governor who wields lots of power.

A state has two Senators, each of which compromises 1 out of 100 members to make decisions that usually won't matter unless the other 435 member chamber agrees.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

Mayor to House is a promotion because it can be a lifetime gig, especially in a safe seat.

[brucejoel99]

Stacey Abrams' state house district is in Lewis' Congressional district. If she wanted to go to Congress, she definitely has the name recognition and political clout following her 2018 Governor's race to win a likely crowded Democratic primary field.

And this would probably be her only legitimate hope of continuing her political career at this point because there's no way in hell that she's able to win a re-match with Kemp after her blatant campaign for VP.

Most Georgia voters will forget about her VP campaign by the end of the year.

Considering how close 2018 was, "most Georgia voters" forgetting about it wouldn't be good enough. She'd need all Georgia voters (& then some) to forget about her VP campaign by the 2022 election. Not happening, especially if/when Kemp attempts to hammer it home over & over again.

Kemp has to do some serious work to repair his reputation before he can even think about her VP campaign.

Not if it's a Biden midterm.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Mayor to House usually is a promotion yes, but there's a line where it's not anymore. deBlasio won't run for congress, Lightfoot won't, Breed probably not either, etc.

cities over I'd say... 500k are where it gets fuzzy. Mayors of cities that size govern over as many people as Gov. Mark Gordon. In congress most reps are just unheard unseen nobodies. Mayors on the other hand, with a large enough city you are seen far more often.


Of course this is mainly talking about non-figurehead type mayors. Wayne Messam for example would unequivocally be promoted if he ran for house and won because Miramar has a pretty powerless mayor from my understanding.

Isn’t Greg Stanton being elected to AZ-09 a promotion because Phoenix has a weak mayor system?

That’s what I’m talking about at the end. However for a stronger mayor it would be a demotion

[Flyersfan232]

Stacey Abrams' state house district is in Lewis' Congressional district. If she wanted to go to Congress, she definitely has the name recognition and political clout following her 2018 Governor's race to win a likely crowded Democratic primary field.

Considering the ages of the dem congressional leadership as well and Stacy abrams having been a minority leader I could see that then just as attractive would be surprise if she don’t.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Not if it's a Biden midterm.

Deal was immensely more popular than Kemp and got the same 53 percent in 2014 that he did in 2010.

Also Abrams' campaign for VP was shameless but the people who care that much are already GOP. She will have enormous amounts of money another two years of trends and an even more robust voter reg operation in a state where Kemp is running out of white hicks to rile up. The theme of her race will be avenging her loss from four years prior and the fight for voting rights will excite the black base. Their rematch would be a tossup even with the run off rule because the Dems may lurch past 50 THIS YEAR.

[Blair]

Keisha Lance Bottoms?

That would be something of a demotion, wouldn't it?

No. Federal level is higher than municipal level.

Who says?

Me. Senate is highest statewide. Next is governor. Next is other statewide. Next is House. Next is state legislature. Next is mayor.

You're forgetting that a lot of politicians aren't just pawns on a chess piece; some of them love having control over budgets, over a large staff & being able to set an agenda.

I know of a lot of MPs in this country who've taken much smaller jobs afterwards and found them 100% more enjoyable and fufilling.