Rate Missouri

[ElectionsGuy]

Vote or change vote in previous threads here:

IN MT NH NC VT

Ratings

No Election: 46.6% of population, 20 states
Safe Dem: 2.6% of population, 2 states
Likely Dem: 3.2% of population, 1 state
Lean Dem:
Toss-Up/Tilt Dem:
Toss-Up/Tilt Rep: 0.3% of population, 1 state
Lean Rep:
Likely Rep: 0.6% of population, 2 states
Safe Rep: 3.3% of population, 3 states
No Election: 41.0% of population, 19 states

Predictions

Democratic: 52.4% of population, 23 states
Republican: 45.2% of population, 25 states

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Hot take but I think Parson is being way overestimated to a comical level. Lean Galloway (voted Lean Parson since thats the closest option listed in your poll).

[Libertas Vel Mors]

Hot take but I think Parson is being way overestimated to a comical level. Lean Galloway (voted Lean Parson since thats the closest option listed in your poll).

Unbe-freaking-lievable

[KaiserDave]

Safe R

[KaiserDave]

However, I think Phil could do better margins wise if Holcombe is the Democratic nominee

[Xing]

Once Greitens resigned, this race may as well have been called for the Republicans. Safe R.

[Gracile]

Safe R, and the hype for this race is pretty unnecessary.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Wave insurance MT, MO and NH will go Dem, but for now Safe R

[Orwell]

I say Likely Parsons, I don't like putting states in Safe Colum so soon in a state where Democrats have had some pretty solid success in the not so distant past.

[Astatine]

Likely Parson, bordering Safe. An upset is not completely impossible (unlike, for instance in IN), but quite unlikely.

[I’m not Stu]

Likely R.

[S019]

Likely R, out of caution

[Politician]

Hot take but I think Parson is being way overestimated to a comical level. Lean Galloway (voted Lean Parson since thats the closest option listed in your poll).

Every poll has him up by double digits. It's not just him being "overestimated".

[Quincy Kelley]

Parson wins a full 4-year term handily. He seems to be doing a good job so far & his handling of the Coronavirus has boosted his approval ratings.

Is he allowed to seek a second full 4-year term in 2024 ?

[Suburbia]

Likely Parson.

MO Democrats can try in 2024 or 2028

[VPH]

Likely Parson. I can't rule out a Galloway win if Parson goofs up or the national climate is just that bad. She's one of the strongest candidates, but the route to victory is challenging.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Galloway can run against Blunt in 2022

[Ritz]

Safe R, doesn't show many signs of being competitive.

[Fuzzy Says: "Abolish NPR!"]

Missouri has been a bellweather state, but that's all in the past. 

Likely R.  In more ordinary circustances, Titanium R.

[Lechasseur]

Likely R, but closer to Safe than to Lean

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe R

[libertpaulian]

Likely R.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Safe R, he's not losing sorry

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

MO is red from now on

[Hope For A New Era]

Hot take but I think Parson is being way overestimated to a comical level. Lean Galloway (voted Lean Parson since thats the closest option listed in your poll).

lol, what?

He is definitely being overestimated, but not nearly to that extent. Galloway has one path to victory, and it is through the virus: relentlessly hammer Parson on his too-early opening of the state (after it is inevitably revealed to have been a bad decision).

For now, Lean R.