Which Republican would have the best chance to win in the 2024 general?
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  Which Republican would have the best chance to win in the 2024 general?
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Poll
Question: Which Republican would have the best chance to win in the 2024 general?
#1
Mike Pence
 
#2
Ron DeSantis
 
#3
Nikki Haley
 
#4
Ted Cruz
 
#5
Tom Cotton
 
#6
Rick Scott
 
#7
Charlie Baker
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 43

Author Topic: Which Republican would have the best chance to win in the 2024 general?  (Read 1570 times)
Mail-order President
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« on: April 26, 2020, 02:00:05 AM »

Assuming Trump wins this year
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MABA 2020
MakeAmericaBritishAgain
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« Reply #1 on: April 26, 2020, 06:37:42 AM »

I suppose Nikki Haley, although in my mind the only way Republicans win in 2024 is if they lose this year.
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andjey
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« Reply #2 on: April 26, 2020, 09:21:41 AM »

Trump won: Nikki Haley
Trump lost: Charlie Baker
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #3 on: April 26, 2020, 11:34:29 AM »

Trump wins: Pence, easily

Trump loses: Cotton (or Hawley who is not on the list)
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Idaho Conservative
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« Reply #4 on: April 26, 2020, 01:02:36 PM »

Desantis, appeal with Trump's base+suburban appeal+being a Floridian
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #5 on: April 26, 2020, 01:05:34 PM »


Underrated possibility.  His handling of the current crisis has been well received so far.
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Nightcore Nationalist
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« Reply #6 on: April 26, 2020, 04:05:01 PM »

.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #7 on: April 26, 2020, 04:08:30 PM »

One not mentioned: Larry Hogan. Primary concerns notwithstanding, I would say his response to the virus is the best of any governor.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #8 on: April 26, 2020, 08:11:42 PM »

Desantis, appeal with Trump's base+suburban appeal+being a Floridian
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #9 on: April 26, 2020, 08:15:25 PM »

Probably someone like Rick Scott.  He seems more like a business republican than a social conservative hardliner (even though I'm sure his policies would be).

Charlie Baker is too moderate for where the GOP is going and wouldn't hold the party together. 

The rest of them are mostly nut jobs who wouldn't win a national election.
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Nightcore Nationalist
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« Reply #10 on: April 27, 2020, 06:42:58 AM »

Probably someone like Rick Scott.  He seems more like a business republican than a social conservative hardliner (even though I'm sure his policies would be).

Charlie Baker is too moderate for where the GOP is going and wouldn't hold the party together. 

The rest of them are mostly nut jobs who wouldn't win a national election.

Isn't Scott a medicare fraudster who built Florida's unemployment system that crashed under heavy load by design?  Seems like a fairly weak candidate.  DeSantis's streak of popularity might have ended with COVID, but he's still a better candidate than Scott.
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Real Texan Politics
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« Reply #11 on: April 27, 2020, 02:02:58 PM »

Desantis, appeal with Trump's base+suburban appeal+being a Floridian

Doubt it, his corona response is going to come back to haunt him.
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #12 on: April 27, 2020, 04:31:02 PM »
« Edited: April 27, 2020, 04:36:55 PM by EastOfEden »

If Trump wins this year, 2024 is a nearly-guaranteed Democratic landslide. Haley is probably the only one who even has a chance, and even then, it would be a surprise victory even bigger than 2016.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: April 28, 2020, 07:41:18 AM »

Ted Cruz will be the nominee but lose to Prez Biden
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QAnonKelly
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« Reply #14 on: April 28, 2020, 11:03:59 PM »

If Trump wins, no one. The map would look pretty similar to this, imo.
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S019
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« Reply #15 on: April 28, 2020, 11:10:14 PM »

Easily Charlie Baker as he would probably be able to make Nevada and Colorado competitive again, and could put Democrats on defense there. There's also a sizable faction of moderate Democrats who could vote for him.
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Nightcore Nationalist
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« Reply #16 on: April 29, 2020, 06:31:04 AM »

Easily Charlie Baker as he would probably be able to make Nevada and Colorado competitive again, and could put Democrats on defense there. There's also a sizable faction of moderate Democrats who could vote for him.

No, he couldn't-he'd simply lose them by single digits instead of double.  The presumed benefit of an east coast moderate GOP is keeping PA, NH and ME competitive and hopefully doing well enough in sunbelt suburbs to hold on to FL, NC and TX (Georgia will go blue after 2 terms of Trump)
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Storr
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« Reply #17 on: April 29, 2020, 11:26:23 AM »

Tbh, Donald Trump (assuming he loses this year). His base loves him and I'm not sure even a 2020 loss dings his popularity among them.
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Idaho Conservative
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« Reply #18 on: April 29, 2020, 07:50:35 PM »

Easily Charlie Baker as he would probably be able to make Nevada and Colorado competitive again, and could put Democrats on defense there. There's also a sizable faction of moderate Democrats who could vote for him.

No, he couldn't-he'd simply lose them by single digits instead of double.  The presumed benefit of an east coast moderate GOP is keeping PA, NH and ME competitive and hopefully doing well enough in sunbelt suburbs to hold on to FL, NC and TX (Georgia will go blue after 2 terms of Trump)
GA blue?  I thought the GOP supposedly was rigging elections there. lol
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #19 on: April 30, 2020, 01:51:39 AM »

Tbh, Donald Trump (assuming he loses this year). His base loves him and I'm not sure even a 2020 loss dings his popularity among them.

Problem is he’s really old. His son can carry his mantle, though.
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here2view
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« Reply #20 on: April 30, 2020, 01:00:30 PM »

Haley, but even then she would be fighting an extreme uphill battle.

I'd expect the Democrat to clear 350 electoral votes in 2024 if Trump wins this November.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #21 on: April 30, 2020, 01:26:09 PM »

Nikki Haley, I guess.

Charlie Baker will never come close to the Republican nomination. He's a massive freedom fighter, but the Republicans will never nominate a socially liberal centrist who is often described as a de facto a pro-business Democrat.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #22 on: April 30, 2020, 04:33:29 PM »

If Trump wins, no one. The map would look pretty similar to this, imo.


Georgia and Texas blue but North Carolina red?

Is this a mistake or part of that dumb “NC Is Titanium R” meme? Although most people with the same thinking would have Florida and of course Wisconsin red as well.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #23 on: April 30, 2020, 04:41:14 PM »

Tbh, Donald Trump (assuming he loses this year). His base loves him and I'm not sure even a 2020 loss dings his popularity among them.

Problem is he’s really old. His son can carry his mantle, though.

If the Republicans are gonna go full monarchy, Ivanka would be a better successor to the throne than Don-Don.

Anyway, the actual answer to the question is Charlie Baker since the question was about the GENERAL. He would easily win a general election, but he’s not gonna get anywhere in the primaries for the same reasons a conservative Dem governor like John bel Edwards wouldn’t get anywhere in the Democratic primaries. Of those who they might realistically nominate... I guess Haley? I think DeSantis’s stock has plummeted after COVID. But honestly I’m not sure it’s even realistic they would nominate either of those two. The same people championing them also said Jeb! or Rubio would be a shoe-in. Since the Republicans keep getting crazier, I guess they are most likely to nominate either another Trump like Ivanka or Junior or a Trumpian Republican like Cotton or Hawley. Whether they would actually win, as demographic changes make states like Texas more competitive? That’s another story.
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