COVID-19 Megathread 5: The Trumps catch COVID-19

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Sunday numbers are down but we've been burnt by Sunday's in the past we'll have to wait until Wednesday to see the true trajectory

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

DeSantis pulled this out during his presser today

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

DeSantis pulled this out during his presser today

And? Seems pretty straightforward to me.

I was just posting the chart stop being so God damn snarky

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

DeSantis pulled this out during his presser today

And? Seems pretty straightforward to me.

I was just posting the chart stop being so God damn snarky

except it is a blatantly dishonest chart

Seems highly dishonest to me to compare the observed outcomes with the upper limit of the projections instead of the mean of the projections.

Of course people like you would think its dishonest

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Governor Polis has announced that the stay-at-home order will end on April 26, as originally scheduled: https://gazette.com/news/local/polis-says-stay-at-home-order-will-end-sunday-outlines-first-phase-for-reopening-the/article_59b7b738-833f-11ea-aabb-776f58e5104e.html, and outlined the first phase for reopening the state, which he calls "Safer at Home." Mask wearing will remain mandatory for essential employees, bars/restaurants will still be required to offer curbside services, and protocols for keeping workforce/customer capacity down and for encouraging work from home will be in place. He says that depending on how things go, more activities may be allowed to resume in mid-May.

I'm surprised that Polis decided not to extend the order, and he seems to be taking the concerns about the economy seriously enough. But then again, he has been one of the most cautious and measured out of all the Governors in terms of the actions which he has taken, and certainly more so than most other Democrats, so it shouldn't be that much of a surprise. And he is a businessman, so he can perhaps sympathize with those concerned about the bottom line.

Isn't there an outbreak going on in Denver?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Also in Florida testing news, our % positive is now under 10%, it's been slowly creeping down, my county also is going down, from a high of 13.9% to now 6.1%

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

With the rate that states are going, this is going to be a continued outright pandemic for months ahead with more cases and more deaths. It's shameful.

Realistically, cases are never going to go down to 0, there has to be a balance between being fully open and closed

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

I'll take the middle ground here, right now cases are declining, but once we start to reopen states and businesses what's to say it'll keep declining and now start to rise again? Wisconsin saw a spike after their election, Japan and Hong Kong are seeing a rise after they relaxed restrictions.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Trump is suspending ALL Immigration to the U.S

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/1252418369170501639?s=21

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Does anyone else suspect we are probably overall improving now, but we'll regress now that restrictions are easing?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Seeing those images with thousands of people on the beach in Jacksonville doesn't bring me confidence

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

The US is going to set a new daily record for deaths today (at least according to the worldometers count).  The models that projected the peak to come around April 10 were clearly way off.

Looking at the data it seems to be backlog in a few states

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

As if this couldn't get any weirder, a white hat hacker group has just posted the online login information for all employees of the WIV, CDC, NIH, WHO, and the Gates Foundation. They say they are going through the data now, but one authentic appearing screenshot from an employee of the Wuhan Institute of Virology appears to show a discussion of inserting an HIV single nucleotide protein into a coronavirus. If this is true, prepare for World War III.

Oh God it's now here on the forum as if I didn't see enough of it on reddit and twitter

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Today is turning out to be the deadliest day of the pandemic so far in the U.S at 2,800 deaths

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Today is turning out to be the deadliest day of the pandemic so far in the U.S at 2,800 deaths

 This would mean that the projected peak of April 15th was wrong. I am less optimistic this week from what I've seen than I was last week.

Apparently there was a backlog of really old cases in California.

California only reported 75 deaths.....even taking them out that is 2,725...

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

I think it's another Tuesday effect.

If it's the Tuesday effect then going by past precedent tomorrow should have like 35k new cases and roughly the same number of deaths

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

The idea is all over the place some say we might not get a second wave, some say we'll have waves all the way until 2023.

It's best to take it one day at a time.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Am I the only person who legit thinks dine-in restaurants, malls, and theaters are done after this?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

My states trendline of daily new cases

Also the % of positive tests is dropping, we went from 11.9% last week to 9.8% today, my county went from 13.8% 2 weeks ago to 6.0% today

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Looking at the models I think the University of Texas model is more accurate than the IHME model, since the UT model uses GPS tracking to get an idea of what level of social distancing is occurring plus other factors that the IHME model doesn't use

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Australia reports just 4 new cases today.....I envy the Aussies....I hope one day we get to that number...

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Lol this press conference is a joke.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

OK,

Good news for the Europe and USA. All appear to be on the downward slope now to recovery. The interesting thing about this pandemic is the limited time period displayed in all countries including South Korea and China. 1 month up and 1-2 months down the curve in most instances with a slight variation in the length in some countries.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

I have to disagree with you here. U.S cases are NOT going down, we added more cases today than yesterday and we added 30k+ new cases today....

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

https://mobile.twitter.com/grynbaum/status/1253142566708473856

This is the study that found no benefit in treatment but an increase in deaths among those given it.

They keep pushing this just because Trump said it. I thought of a possible treatment that turns out to actually help (blood plasma), but I'm not the President.

Not to mention Remdesivir and a bunch of other treatments that have shown promise. But no, keep doubling down on Hydrox.

OK,

Good news for the Europe and USA. All appear to be on the downward slope now to recovery. The interesting thing about this pandemic is the limited time period displayed in all countries including South Korea and China. 1 month up and 1-2 months down the curve in most instances with a slight variation in the length in some countries.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

I have to disagree with you here. U.S cases are NOT going down, we added more cases today than yesterday and we added 30k+ new cases today....

I don't think you understand the difference between active cases and new cases.

Also, yes, case rates are going town. Slowly at first though.

When I say added cases I meant new cases