Los Angeles mayor 2022: Who wins?

[I’m not Stu]

Who wins?

[Sir Mohamed]

DeLeon appears to be the most obvious one.

I first thought this needs to be 2021, but LA has moved the election date which is why Garcetti serves an extended 2nd term.

[I’m not Stu]

Will turnout be high?

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Will turnout be high?

It's the first LA Mayoral races in 82 years not held in an odd year, where turnout has been constantly below 25% in recent elections.

Bold prediction: Voters aren't aware of this change and habitually overlook this race on their ballots. Only 15% of voters vote for Mayor

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

My instinct is Ridley-Thomas, but it's way too early to tell.

[I’m not Stu]

Kevin de Leon is f***ed. He’s more popular in the heavily white liberal North Coast (which he won in 2018) than he is in Los Angeles.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

Wild card: Rick Caruso pulls a Meg Whitman (still loses).

[I’m not Stu]

Does de Leon have a better chance of replacing Garcettib than Barbara Bry does of replacing Faulconer?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Kevin de Leon 25 percent turnout

[I’m not Stu]

De Leon could win if he runs for CA-29 instead.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Is this an LA Mayoral thread or A Kevin de Leon thread? Cause I almost feel both of your threads should be merged into a 'de Leon Megathread'.

Or a 'de Leon & 2018 CA-Senate Megathread', since all your assumptions/questions are based on that race

[I’m not Stu]

MRT or Feuer wins.