WA-EMC Research: Biden +13%
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  WA-EMC Research: Biden +13%
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Author Topic: WA-EMC Research: Biden +13%  (Read 894 times)
JRP1994
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« on: April 20, 2020, 07:39:28 PM »

https://www.postalley.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/20-7678-Report-WA-State-Residents-Full-Deck-with-Trump.pdf

Biden: 52%
Trump: 39%
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: April 20, 2020, 07:42:32 PM »

Hillary won WA 53-37 in 2016, so this is a... strange #, unless all undecideds break for Biden
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #2 on: April 20, 2020, 08:27:46 PM »

The weighting looks a little off.

Biden wins Democrats 93-3
Trump wins Republicans 89-9
Biden wins Independents/Other 48-34

How do you only get a 13 point Biden lead from that?
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #3 on: April 20, 2020, 08:35:13 PM »

The weighting looks a little off.

Biden wins Democrats 93-3
Trump wins Republicans 89-9
Biden wins Independents/Other 48-34

How do you only get a 13 point Biden lead from that?
Additional, they seen to be heavily underestimating Biden in King county (10 points worse than Hillary).
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #4 on: April 20, 2020, 09:02:47 PM »

This might be the first statewide political poll I’ve seen that breaks down a “nonbinary” subgroup.

I chuckled when I saw that 23% in that subgroup were undecided. 

Not sure if I should feel guilty about that.
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Pollster
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« Reply #5 on: April 20, 2020, 10:17:02 PM »

Trump performing exactly at his approval rating here.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #6 on: April 20, 2020, 10:18:07 PM »

Way underestimating Biden
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xingkerui
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« Reply #7 on: April 20, 2020, 10:56:55 PM »

Biden is not going to win King county by less than 40%, lol.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #8 on: April 21, 2020, 07:47:37 AM »

This might be the first statewide political poll I’ve seen that breaks down a “nonbinary” subgroup.

I chuckled when I saw that 23% in that subgroup were undecided. 

Not sure if I should feel guilty about that.
The margin of error in the results for that subgroup might be massive.
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slothdem
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« Reply #9 on: April 21, 2020, 08:49:10 AM »

Wouldn't surprise me if this is one of the those polls of a very partisan state where the margin is closer than it appears because they nail the loser's vote share and the undecided's strongly favor the winning party. I don't think anyone would be surprised if Washington's final margin was something like 57-39.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #10 on: April 21, 2020, 06:57:58 PM »

Biden will not do worse than Clinton here.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #11 on: April 22, 2020, 12:39:54 PM »

This forum, +13 biden in WA JUNK!
Utah +5 Trump hmm a legitimate possibility.
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xingkerui
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« Reply #12 on: April 23, 2020, 03:20:32 PM »

This forum, +13 biden in WA JUNK!
Utah +5 Trump hmm a legitimate possibility.

I mean, Trump +5 in UT is also junk, but if Biden is only winning WA by 13, he’s losing the election very badly.
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