Yeah this is reminiscent of the WV Sen race 2018 in a couple of ways, Peters polling somewhat comfy ahead of James in almost every poll just like Manchin and fat pat but below the 50ish comfort level. Peters and James are also pretty much tied up even in GOP internals, just like Manchin and fat pat. The majority of undecideds break for James just like fat pat, but the lead ends up too large to overcome anyways, and Manchin ends up winning 49-46, just like rn I think Peters will win 49-46.
I can see this happen on a good night for Trump.
