FL-Quinnipiac: Biden +4
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 02:57:48 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  FL-Quinnipiac: Biden +4
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: FL-Quinnipiac: Biden +4  (Read 2644 times)
LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: April 22, 2020, 01:07:58 PM »


Biden - 46
Trump - 42

1385 RV surveyed 4/16-20

Worth noting that Trump is at new highs in approval rating and favorability while Biden is at a low. Still a good poll for Joe.

https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=3659
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,303


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: April 22, 2020, 01:10:00 PM »

With those Approvals from Trump no way he is down 4 Points in the State. Ridiculous!

Q-Pac just like in 2018 is severely overestimating Democratic Support. They had Gillum & Nelson winning by 6 Points in 2018. Hard to take them seriously anymore.
Logged
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: April 22, 2020, 01:10:14 PM »


Biden - 46
Trump - 42

1385 RV surveyed 4/16-20

Worth noting that Trump is at new highs in approval rating and favorability while Biden is at a low. Still a good poll for Joe.


https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=3659
What are you comparing this to, particular Biden's favorable rating in Florida specifically?
Logged
LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: April 22, 2020, 01:12:36 PM »


Biden - 46
Trump - 42

1385 RV surveyed 4/16-20

Worth noting that Trump is at new highs in approval rating and favorability while Biden is at a low. Still a good poll for Joe.


https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=3659
What are you comparing this to, particular Biden's favorable rating in Florida specifically?

"Voters hold a mixed view of Biden and a negative view of Trump, but their favorability ratings are moving in different directions. Trump is viewed favorably by 43 percent of voters, while 50 percent view him unfavorably - a new high favorability for the president in Florida. This compares to March 2019, when Trump had a negative 40 - 52 percent favorability rating. Biden is viewed favorably by 43 percent of voters, while 40 percent view him unfavorably. However, this is down from a positive 49 - 35 percent favorability rating in March 2019."
Logged
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: April 22, 2020, 01:18:42 PM »


Biden - 46
Trump - 42

1385 RV surveyed 4/16-20

Worth noting that Trump is at new highs in approval rating and favorability while Biden is at a low. Still a good poll for Joe.


https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=3659
What are you comparing this to, particular Biden's favorable rating in Florida specifically?

"Voters hold a mixed view of Biden and a negative view of Trump, but their favorability ratings are moving in different directions. Trump is viewed favorably by 43 percent of voters, while 50 percent view him unfavorably - a new high favorability for the president in Florida. This compares to March 2019, when Trump had a negative 40 - 52 percent favorability rating. Biden is viewed favorably by 43 percent of voters, while 40 percent view him unfavorably. However, this is down from a positive 49 - 35 percent favorability rating in March 2019."
The Biden number at least is kind of irrelevant, considering that the last poll was taken before he announced he was running for president. It does look like Trump has seen some improvement, though. Still, comparing numbers from a year ago to today is a pretty stupid thing to do.
Logged
Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,967
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: April 22, 2020, 01:19:54 PM »

Biden's numbers with white college grads here would sink Trump easily if realized. Makes sense he has upside here if he's stronger with seniors nationally. Florida's electorate will probably be 38% non-white, not sure why everyone's had it as lean R. One of largest midterm dropoff states too for Dems.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: April 22, 2020, 01:21:01 PM »

Biden continues his nationwide dominance with seniors.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: April 22, 2020, 01:25:50 PM »

Biden almost tied with Trump among white women. Clinton's underperformance with this group was the number one reason she lost the state in 2016.
Logged
Fmr. Gov. NickG
NickG
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,150


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -3.49

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: April 22, 2020, 01:27:52 PM »

This polls sounds about right to me, and is consistent with Biden +8 nationally.
Logged
BlueSwan
blueswan
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,290
Denmark


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -7.30

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: April 22, 2020, 01:28:57 PM »

Why the hell isn’t the election tomorrow? Very annoying.
Logged
ProudModerate2
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,351
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: April 22, 2020, 01:32:22 PM »

Very interesting.
Florida would be good insurance for Biden, just in case there is an unusual upset in another big state (maybe Pennsylvania).
Logged
Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,362
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: April 22, 2020, 01:35:13 PM »

Why the hell isn’t the election tomorrow? Very annoying.

Lol BlueSwan, this reads like a Trump tweet.

Quote
Why can't the election be tomorrow? Very annoying and very "unfair".
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,801
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: April 22, 2020, 01:40:40 PM »

This polls sounds about right to me, and is consistent with Biden +8 nationally.


Trump can certainly win FL being down by only 4
Logged
JRP1994
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,045


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: April 22, 2020, 01:41:35 PM »



If that's anything close to accurate, that probably more than offsets any lack of enthusiasm among young voters because seniors are likelier to vote than young voters
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,047


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: April 22, 2020, 01:42:22 PM »

I have a hard time buying that Biden's "strength" with senior voters will hold up in the end.
Logged
American2020
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,493
Côte d'Ivoire


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: April 22, 2020, 01:47:18 PM »



If that's anything close to accurate, that probably more than offsets any lack of enthusiasm among young voters because seniors are likelier to vote than young voters

It seems even seniors are being angry with Trump and his childish behaviour.
Logged
Tintrlvr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,286


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: April 22, 2020, 01:49:38 PM »

Why the hell isn’t the election tomorrow? Very annoying.

Lol BlueSwan, this reads like a Trump tweet.

Quote
Why can't the election be tomorrow? Very annoying and very "unfair".

Yuge. So rigged. The media hates me.
Logged
libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,610
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: April 22, 2020, 01:57:18 PM »

The gold standard hath spoken.

And it's believable, too.
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,592
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: April 22, 2020, 01:59:34 PM »

Too many undecideds. And Quinnipiac has been wrong in 2018, so I wouldn't put a lot of stock into this poll. Obviously, Florida will end up anywhere between Trump +2 to Biden +2.
Logged
Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,967
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: April 22, 2020, 02:52:07 PM »

If young voters break toward Biden late (which is certainly possible if not likely given Trump's approval here), this could turn into a landslide.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,933
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: April 22, 2020, 03:08:01 PM »

I’m still wary of QPac after Florida 2018, but if Biden replicates those numbers with seniors, he easily carries the state.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: April 22, 2020, 03:20:25 PM »

Why the hell isn’t the election tomorrow? Very annoying.

I mean... that would be awfully problematic for obvious reasons...
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,758


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: April 22, 2020, 03:50:38 PM »

Comparing these results with 2018 and 2016 exits is interesting. Biden is doing about Gillum #s with Indies, and much better than Clinton. Biden is also already doing better than HRC among young people, and that's with a good chunk of undecideds who, assumably, would lean Biden. This poll seems to underestimate Biden's strength with 30-45, while he does way better with Seniors, while basically on par with 2018 in 50-64.

Biden also does way better among Whites than HRC or Gillum, while he does worse among Blacks and Hispanics (just a tad in the latter), but that's also once again with high undecideds - and Black undecided voters will almost definitely lean Biden, while Hispanics I would expect as well.

Independents
2020: Biden 44, Trump 37 (D +7)
2018: Gillum 54, DeSantis 44 (D +10)
2016: Clinton 43, Trump 47 (R +4)

18-34
2020: Biden 50, Trump 31 (D +19)
2018: Gillum 61, DeSantis 37 (D +24)
2016: Clinton 54, Trump 36 (D +18)

35-49
2020: Biden 40, Trump 44 (R +4)
2018: Gillum 62, DeSantis 35 (D +27)
2016: Clinton 54, Trump 39 (D +15)

50-64
2020: Biden 43, Trump 48 (R +5)
2018: Gillum 46, DeSantis 52 (R +6)
2016: Clinton 43, Trump 56 (R +13)

65+
2020: Biden 52, Trump 42 (D +10)
2018: Gillum 43, DeSantis 56 (R +13)
2016: Clinton 40, Trump 57 (R +17)

White
2020: Biden 40, Trump 52 (R +12)
2018: Gillum 39, DeSantis 60 (R +21)
2016: Clinton 32, Trump 64 (R +32)

Black
2020: Biden 73, Trump 8 (D +65)
2018: Gillum 86, DeSantis 14 (D +72)
2016: Clinton 84, Trump 8 (D +76)

Hispanic
2020: Biden 46, Trump 38 (D +8)
2018: Gillum 54, DeSantis 44 (D +10)
2016: Clinton 62, Trump 35 (D +27)
Logged
Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,278


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: April 22, 2020, 03:59:34 PM »

The gold standard hath spoken.

And it's believable, too.


Is it ironic ?
Logged
Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,278


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: April 22, 2020, 04:01:03 PM »

Just saying, but the previous Quinnipiac poll had Trump down by -9 in Florida. So this poll is a clear improvement for Trump
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.054 seconds with 12 queries.