MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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Posts: 15,276
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« on: April 21, 2020, 06:23:08 PM » |
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« edited: April 21, 2020, 06:37:38 PM by MT Treasurer »
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So many Biden +8 (or +7/+9) polls, which "coincidentally" is exactly the margin by which Democrats won the House popular vote in 2018. For all the "But 2018 was a D+8 year!1!" talk, it sure doesn’t look like the national environment has improved for Republicans since that election.
Also, the 538 aggregate has Democrats winning the House popular vote by... exactly 8 points (48.4%-40.4%).
This is a far more static election than people think.
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