Is a presidential election always 50-50 by default?
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  Is a presidential election always 50-50 by default?
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Author Topic: Is a presidential election always 50-50 by default?  (Read 859 times)
Plankton5165
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« on: April 21, 2020, 05:16:52 PM »

Is every presidential election always 50-50 if one major party nominee does just as well as the other?
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #1 on: May 28, 2020, 11:30:13 PM »

NO
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #2 on: June 10, 2020, 04:33:13 PM »

Fairly obviously no.  Not sure why this is a question.
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mrappaport1220
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« Reply #3 on: June 24, 2020, 11:51:41 PM »

No, each election has different circumstances which in the beginning puts one candidate ahead of another. For example, the 2008 election was heavily favored for whoever the Democratic nominee was after eight years of Bush, who is generally considered a fairly bad President for many different reasons.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #4 on: June 25, 2020, 08:46:36 AM »

No, each election has different circumstances which in the beginning puts one candidate ahead of another. For example, the 2008 election was heavily favored for whoever the Democratic nominee was after eight years of Bush, who is generally considered a fairly bad President for many different reasons.

Yeah and then you have years like 1984 when the incumbent is extremely popular and so is overwhelmingly the favorite.

The only times it's roughly 50-50 are when there's about equally much going for and against the incumbent party. So I think 2000 and 2016 are both good examples of that, no surprise they're also two of the closest elections in recent years.
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mrappaport1220
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« Reply #5 on: June 25, 2020, 11:41:26 AM »

No, each election has different circumstances which in the beginning puts one candidate ahead of another. For example, the 2008 election was heavily favored for whoever the Democratic nominee was after eight years of Bush, who is generally considered a fairly bad President for many different reasons.

Yeah and then you have years like 1984 when the incumbent is extremely popular and so is overwhelmingly the favorite.

The only times it's roughly 50-50 are when there's about equally much going for and against the incumbent party. So I think 2000 and 2016 are both good examples of that, no surprise they're also two of the closest elections in recent years.
Exactly. 1984 is a great example where Reagan was totally favored and won in a landslide. 2000 was basically 50/50.
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One Term Floridian
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« Reply #6 on: June 25, 2020, 11:50:34 AM »

Even in 1960 and 2000, JFK and W each respectively had edges that barely gave them the election.

Plus does anyone seriously still think 2020 is a 50-50 race?
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