lopaka
Newbie
Posts: 3
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« on: November 10, 2003, 05:40:52 PM » |
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Howdy, all!-To be honest, it's hard for me to see anybody besides Dean winning the nomination at this point. It mystifies me how Gephart is continued to be talked of in the first tier. Nobody in MISSOURI takes him that seriously, outside of some St. Louis area labor bosses.
Lieberman-no chance, never had.
It pretty much gets down to how quickly people can coalese behind an 'anybody but Dean' candidate. And if it's Kerry, HD is the nominee, because HD has been beating him on his home turf.
I think Clark points up to as much as anything, how, except under the most extremly unusual circumstances, one can start as late as he did. Can anybody imagine an RFK-style candidate these days who declared after the New Hampshire primary? Virtually unthinkable.
I guess Edwards is the best prospect of the long-shots, but he's been running for a while now, with generally favorable press, and has gained zero traction. But again, if it were to somehow very quickly (and I mean very) boil down to Edwards-Dean and the others got behind Edwards, I suppose it's possible.
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