PPP (KS) - Bollier +2 vs. Kobach

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Well if KS leans D, McConnell isnt Majority any longer with NC and MT hanging in the balance

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

KS is trending D like AZ and VA and is winnable at the Prez level as well. KS is the new IA, Gov Kelly is just as popular as Gov Reynolds, that's why Dems are doing well in KS🤩🤩🤩

Where is MT Treasurer he too said JS was more winnable than IA?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This poll is still good news to Dems, even if Marshall is the nominee,  he isnt leading by 10, more like 3

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah if Marshall wins the nomination,  he wins by 3 to 5 points

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Things would have to go very bad for Trump to have this seat going democrat. Personally, I don't think Koback would underperform that much the other republican guy.

Things already have gone bad for Trump, the deaths of many elderly at nursing homes

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

KS is trending opposite of IA, it's the Dem version of IA, now.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Unsure why they are excluding Marshall, who has been close in polling and leads significantly in fundraising. Trying to create a stronger narrative that this is a winnable seat, I suppose, by making it appear that Kobach is the inevitable GOP nominee.

Because PPP is a horrible pollster which cares more about trolling republicans than delivering reliable datas.

They're actually one of the better ones.  Shook Nate says they only favor Dems by 0.3% on average.  There are a lot of polls being posted around these parts with way worse of a reputation and much more abysmal stats.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/?ex_cid=irpromo

lol PPP favors Dems by 0.3% on average and gets 80% of the races called correctly.

Fox News favors Republicans by 0.4% on average but only predicts the winner 72% of the time (which still isn't all that bad).

So either you're uninformed or you just don't like the news they're delivering...

Zogby has called right 78% of the races they polled, does it mean they're a good pollster ? No, at least according to most opinions.
Also it would be interesting to know the period over which Nate Silver has analyzed the concerned polls, because before 2013 PPP polls were pretty good, it's over the past six years they have become a joke, so if a large number of polls which are in his database are from before 2013, obviously their record will look better.

Dems are gonna win AZ, CO, ME and NC to make up for  AL and Warren will be the Veep in a tie breaking Senate

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Coronovirus has made every incumbent Dem Gov very popular, that's why Bullock, Cunningham and Bollier have a chance due to fact Bullock, Cooper and Kelly are all popular. Likewise,  in 2022, it will be a status quo election,  since most of Govs are from safe Dem states anyways. KS is trending Dem, and becoming what IA used to be to Dems

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sebelius won in 2002 and 2006 too, as Gov

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Why is this turning into an argument about Iowa, lol. Do people not realize to ignore OC?

Bollier, also, will win.

Why do you want me on ignore?