VA-VCU: Biden +10

[GeorgiaModerate]

Virginia: Virginia Commonwealth University, March 25-April 8, 663 LV

Biden 51
Trump 41

[wbrocks67]

Their long sample size dates are a bit ridiculous (14 days in the field?!), but Biden +10 honestly sounds about right with how VA is trending and considering Clinton won it by 5 and Northam by 9

[Bidenworth2020]

Basically my prediction for the state as of now, maybe even a bit better for Biden.

[Podgy the Bear]

The state polls are coming in now--and reflecting the broader national trend to Biden.

Short of a tremendous economic recovery in the second half of 2020, it's going to be very hard for Trump to pick up enough ground and come back.

[Person Man]

If Biden is doing as well as a Democrat can do, he is winning by about this much. I think what will happen in light blue states is that Biden hits the Republican floor and it eventually it look like these states are trending Republican when in reality people underestimated how many Republicans are left in these states in the first place.

[Sir Mohamed]

About the margin I'd expect in VA this time. The state should be called right at polls closing on election night. That would be a very good sign.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

About the margin I'd expect in VA this time. The state should be called right at polls closing on election night. That would be a very good sign.

Biden isnt gonna win VA by 10 pts, more like 4 pts

[libertpaulian]

Likely D, getting closer to Safe, though.

[Gracile]

Virginia is Safe D.

[wbrocks67]

About the margin I'd expect in VA this time. The state should be called right at polls closing on election night. That would be a very good sign.

Biden isnt gonna win VA by 10 pts, more like 4 pts

What would possibly make you think Biden would win VA by less than HRC did in 2016

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe D but Biden polls will return back to normal Biden+4

[roxas11]

About the margin I'd expect in VA this time. The state should be called right at polls closing on election night. That would be a very good sign.

Biden isnt gonna win VA by 10 pts, more like 4 pts

VA was not on trump train in 2016  when trumpism what at its peak
In 2018 they rejected trump by in ever bigger margin than last time and come November Biden is defiantly going to win by way more than 4 points.

I don't see Biden doing worse than Hillary in VA at all 

[Gass3268]

This was one of those "shock" polls in December that showed Biden only up by 3.

[Skye]

About the margin I'd expect in VA this time. The state should be called right at polls closing on election night. That would be a very good sign.

Biden isnt gonna win VA by 10 pts, more like 4 pts

VA was not on trump train in 2016  when trumpism what at its peak
In 2018 they rejected trump by in ever bigger margin than last time and come November Biden is defiantly going to win by way more than 4 points.

I don't see Biden doing worse than Hillary in VA at all 

Not that I think VA is particularly competitive right now, but it is a mistake to believe 'Trumpism' has already peaked

[ProudModerate2]

But SN told us that trump could win Virginia in 2020.

[President Johnson]

NoVa moderate suburbanites have turned this into safe Democratic. I think Joe Biden will take this state by about ten points, something like 54-44%.

[psychprofessor]

Virginia also saw one of the largest increases from DEM primary turnout versus 2016. This could be a high single digits win for Biden.

[Podgy the Bear]

But SN told us that trump could win Virginia in 2020.

Where is SN these days?

[GeorgiaModerate]

But SN told us that trump could win Virginia in 2020.

Where is SN these days?

SN2903 has been banned from the 2020 presidential election board for 30 days, and banned from making new threads forum-wide for 6 months, due to trolling, chronic thread derailment, abuse of new threads and in general too many moderated posts over the past 90 days.

[Lisa's voting Biden]

You love to see it folks!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems always overpoll in VA, Hilary overpolled in VA, too, that's why she went dark in VA, PA and Co; consequently,  cost her PA. Biden will win by the same margin as Hilary, 50 to 46

[Podgy the Bear]

But SN told us that trump could win Virginia in 2020.

Where is SN these days?

SN2903 has been banned from the 2020 presidential election board for 30 days, and banned from making new threads forum-wide for 6 months, due to trolling, chronic thread derailment, abuse of new threads and in general too many moderated posts over the past 90 days.

Thanks for the update.  Not as frenetic these days on the forum!

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Finally some realistic VA polling! Of course it probably won't be added to the polling map like literally every AZ poll over the last few months.

[Xing]

Safe D, nothing to see here.

[President Johnson]

Dems always overpoll in VA, Hilary overpolled in VA, too, that's why she went dark in VA, PA and Co; consequently,  cost her PA. Biden will win by the same margin as Hilary, 50 to 46

2017 gubernatorial race and 2018 senate race did not overpoll Democrats. More like the opposite. Trends also need to be taken into account here. Joe Biden is a great fit for Virginia and he will rack up tons of votes in NoVa that gives him at least a high single digit win in the state overall. Donald Trump and his brand of Republican politics is toxic in these suburbs, as congressional and state house elections have shown. Uncle Joe will clobber him big time.