NBC/WSJ: Biden +7

[Frenchrepublican]

RCP currently has the average at Biden +5.8
If that "tied" Fox News poll was not in there, it would no doubt be higher.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_biden-6247.html

Well, your argument is working both ways, if the CNN poll which has Biden up by 11 was not in there, it would be even closer.

[GeorgiaModerate]

RCP currently has the average at Biden +5.8
If that "tied" Fox News poll was not in there, it would no doubt be higher.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_biden-6247.html

Well, your argument is working both ways, if the CNN poll which has Biden up by 11 was not in there, it would be even closer.

Take them both out and the average doesn't change much.

[ProudModerate2]

RCP currently has the average at Biden +5.8
If that "tied" Fox News poll was not in there, it would no doubt be higher.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_biden-6247.html

Well, your argument is working both ways, if the CNN poll which has Biden up by 11 was not in there, it would be even closer.

Take them both out and the average doesn't change much.

Very true.
I agree with both of you.

[Alben Barkley]

This poll has Biden up 50 points (60-10) among voters who don’t like either.

That was fatal to Hillary last time and this time will be fatal to Trump if it holds, or anything close to it.

[Alben Barkley]

19% are still "neutral" on Joe Biden. He's benefiting so much right now from not being in the spotlight, he's practically the "not Trump" option on the ballot. Kind of a red flag for both of them that undecideds are going up.

Also, the white college grad sample is +18 Biden, when it was only +8 Dems in 2018 (matching the national margin). On the other hand, undecided/other skews toward young people and Latinos, undoubtedly anti-Biden liberals. It's hard to tell whether the remaining amount of bitter Sanders supporters will eventually vote for Biden, or if many of them actually will sit out or vote Green/Libertarian.

I suspect MOST of them will vote for Biden. Most did for Clinton last time, and that primary was even more contentious, bitter, and drawn out. Bernie personally likes Biden more, clearly, and many of his supporters seem to at least hate him less than they did Hillary. They’ll come around. The fact that there are just fewer Bernie supporters this time will help too, as will the fact that Bernie dropped out sooner and is likely to do more to help Joe. Seems to be that there just are not nearly as many “Anyone but Joe” voters coming from either the left or right as there were “Anyone but Hillary” voters. Which could be enough.

[Gustaf]

The battlegrounds here were Trump +0.5% in 2016 so in other word almost 3% to the right of the national average.

[Rookie Yinzer]

If college whites really went Biden +18, he would win Georgia and possibly Texas.

You mean Texas and possibly Georgia. I think Texas would flip before Georgia. Georgia is fools gold

Uh no it’s not. GA was closer than TX in 2016 and 2018. If college whites go hard for Dems, GA would feel the effects first because of its strong base of non white Dem vote. Abrams won 85 percent of non white votes while Beto only won 69 percent. Y’all say anything on this site.

[BlueSwan]

Trump ran as a populist but failed to cut the debt. Jews will deliver Florida for Biden 🤩🤩🤩

Excellent olawakandi impression!