Utah-Y2 Analytics: Trump +5
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  Utah-Y2 Analytics: Trump +5
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Author Topic: Utah-Y2 Analytics: Trump +5  (Read 2139 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: April 13, 2020, 07:32:53 AM »

Utah: Y2 Analytics, March 21-30, 1331 RV

Trump 46
Biden 41
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DaWN
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« Reply #1 on: April 13, 2020, 07:34:27 AM »

What a helpful poll, telling us that Biden will indeed get 41%
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #2 on: April 13, 2020, 07:36:06 AM »

What a helpful poll, telling us that Biden will indeed get 41%

A Democrat getting 41% statewide in Utah nowadays is basically unheard of.
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DaWN
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« Reply #3 on: April 13, 2020, 07:52:57 AM »

What a helpful poll, telling us that Biden will indeed get 41%

A Democrat getting 41% statewide in Utah nowadays is basically unheard of.

Hence the sarcasm
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #4 on: April 13, 2020, 07:56:06 AM »

Trump makes it possible.

Would have happened in 2016 already, but there was a Mr. McMuffin.

There is no McMuffin this year.
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Skye
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« Reply #5 on: April 13, 2020, 09:25:07 AM »

This result is wild. Especially considering Obama's 34% in 2008 looked like something impressive.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #6 on: April 13, 2020, 09:32:58 AM »

If Biden actually DOES get 41%, that's great news for McAdams.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #7 on: April 13, 2020, 02:16:12 PM »


That Trump can't crack 50 in Utah shows how out of tough he is with Utah values. This is before the apparent crash in Trump support.
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Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #8 on: April 13, 2020, 03:02:19 PM »

If Biden manages to crack over 40% statewide, it will be almost entirely thanks to Salt Lake County posting a double digit Democratic margin, which is highly likely to happen. A D+20 result there wouldn't surprise me.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #9 on: April 13, 2020, 03:17:29 PM »

Losing by just 5 in Utah come November, would be super impressive for Biden (and would have ripple-effects showing similar support in other states).
I mean, it would almost certainly mean that states like Florida, North Carolina, Arizona and NE-02 would be lost by trump (not to mention the obvious loss of MI, PA and WI).
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #10 on: April 13, 2020, 04:15:39 PM »

Utah is trending left like the rest of the interior west.
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: April 13, 2020, 04:20:49 PM »

Dems arent gonna win UT
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #12 on: April 13, 2020, 09:12:17 PM »

Biden should send Sanders there to campaign for him, lol.
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Intell
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« Reply #13 on: April 13, 2020, 09:13:15 PM »

Biden should send Sanders there to campaign for him, lol.

No he shouldn't.
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jimmie
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« Reply #14 on: April 13, 2020, 09:18:11 PM »

I believe the Biden at 41% but believe Trump will win by double digits. However, McAdams will win by at least 5.

Maybe if Trump manages to win re-election we can have a consolation prize of McAdams defeating Mike Lee in 2022.

To win statewide, McAdams would need 66% in Salt Lake County. Do not say it can not be done. Look at Jefferson County for KY-Gov 2019 and Jefferson County (lol) for AL-Sen 2017 and Salt Lake County has a higher proportion of the vote!

He would have to win Weber as well.
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anthonyjg
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« Reply #15 on: April 13, 2020, 09:29:56 PM »

Here we go again...
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #16 on: April 13, 2020, 09:35:07 PM »

There were polls like this in 2016, too, I think. Biden has a good shot at getting within 25 points, but it will be tough to even match Clinton's 18-point loss unless there is another McMullin-esque spoiler on the ballot. (I don't think McMullin emerged until September or so, so there's still time for someone to make a similar run.)
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #17 on: April 13, 2020, 09:42:47 PM »

Look at individual approvals in the states and Trump is at 51 percent in UT, Trump isnt losing UT
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One Term Floridian
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« Reply #18 on: April 14, 2020, 09:55:51 AM »

If Trump canít even improve here from 2016, where could he?
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I Fought Guns, Tanks, Cannon
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« Reply #19 on: April 14, 2020, 10:26:01 AM »

Remember in 2016 when Atlas speculated on "what if Trump loses UT???"

yeah, okay
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The Address That Must Not be Named
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« Reply #20 on: April 14, 2020, 01:18:33 PM »

True if big!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #21 on: April 14, 2020, 01:33:27 PM »

This pollster nailed Clinton's % in 2016, but they overestimated McMullin.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #22 on: April 15, 2020, 08:48:00 AM »

New Poll: Utah President by Y2 Analytics on 2020-03-30

Summary: D: 41%, R: 46%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #23 on: April 16, 2020, 03:22:45 PM »

If Biden reaches 41% in UT the election will end in a landslide with the democrats obtaining 400 EVs

Welcome to At..uhh...Talk Elections!
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #24 on: April 21, 2020, 06:38:42 PM »

If Biden reaches 41% in UT the election will end in a landslide with the democrats obtaining 400 EVs
Or 353 anyway (2016+MI+PA+WI+NE-2+AZ+NC+FL+GA+MT)

Is Y2 Analytics pretty reliable? If so, then Trump appears to be in trouble nationally.
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