NY-GOV: Who is the next Governor of New York?

[Quincy Kelley]

When Trump wins reelection in November as President, expect Cuomo to remain in the NY State Executive Mansion in Albany until 2027.

[brucejoel99]

When Trump wins reelection in November as President, expect Cuomo to remain in the NY State Executive Mansion in Albany until 2027.

I'd expect that regardless of whether or not Trump wins re-election.

[Fuzzy Bear]

New York has no term limits, which is okay, you can run how long if you are doing a good job

Pataki would have probably lost in 2006, Spitzer would have probably lost in 2010.

Had he not been in a Prostitution scandal, Spitzer would have been re-elected in 2010.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Mayor Corey Johnson in 2026?

[President Johnson]

New York has no term limits, which is okay, you can run how long if you are doing a good job

Pataki would have probably lost in 2006, Spitzer would have probably lost in 2010.

Had he not been in a Prostitution scandal, Spitzer would have been re-elected in 2010.

Probably, but his approvals by late 2007 was at 30% or something. So he was unpopular even before the scandal broke. I wonder whether David Paterson would have won the primary and general if he stayed in the race in 2010.

[Quincy Kelley]

New York has no term limits, which is okay, you can run how long if you are doing a good job

Pataki would have probably lost in 2006, Spitzer would have probably lost in 2010.

Had he not been in a Prostitution scandal, Spitzer would have been re-elected in 2010.

Probably, but his approvals by late 2007 was at 30% or something. So he was unpopular even before the scandal broke. I wonder whether David Paterson would have won the primary and general if he stayed in the race in 2010.

Paterson was doomed regardless because Obama & Co., aggressively pushed him out in favor of Cuomo.

[Suburbia]

Tom Suozzi or Harry Wilson?

Wilson is a center-right Republican.

[Fuzzy Bear]

New York has no term limits, which is okay, you can run how long if you are doing a good job

Pataki would have probably lost in 2006, Spitzer would have probably lost in 2010.

Had he not been in a Prostitution scandal, Spitzer would have been re-elected in 2010.

Probably, but his approvals by late 2007 was at 30% or something. So he was unpopular even before the scandal broke. I wonder whether David Paterson would have won the primary and general if he stayed in the race in 2010.

I think you're thinking of Paterson's 2008-09 approval ratiings.  The guy was horrible.

Spitzer was sharp, and he was on the right side of the Wall Street issue.  If he hadn't gotten caught with prostitutes he'd have been on the ticket in 2016.

[Quincy Kelley]

Paterson was pathetic & his sex scandals didn't help.

[Suburbia]

New York has no term limits, which is okay, you can run how long if you are doing a good job

Pataki would have probably lost in 2006, Spitzer would have probably lost in 2010.

Had he not been in a Prostitution scandal, Spitzer would have been re-elected in 2010.

Probably, but his approvals by late 2007 was at 30% or something. So he was unpopular even before the scandal broke. I wonder whether David Paterson would have won the primary and general if he stayed in the race in 2010.

Paterson was doomed regardless because Obama & Co., aggressively pushed him out in favor of Cuomo.

You think Paterson would have lost to Lazio?

Probably.

Cuomo will be there til 2027.

Who is his successor? Tom Suozzi? Tish James?

[SnowLabrador]

The ghost of Andrew Cuomo. During his 10th term he'll wake up and no longer be alive, but will still serve as Governor. Point being: He's governor as long as he wants to be.

In all seriousness, I really hope it's AOC or Andrew Yang.

[Figueira]

Someone who isn't born yet.

[President Johnson]

Someone who isn't born yet.

This thread isn't about the next Democratic governor of Florida.

[brucejoel99]

Someone who isn't born yet.

This thread isn't about the next Democratic governor of Florida.

Moreover, I was born 20 years ago.

[Figueira]

Someone who isn't born yet.

This thread isn't about the next Democratic governor of Florida.

Sorry, I might have used the same joke twice.

[SWE]

2022 would be the time for Cuomo to lose. Convincing voters you deserve a fourth term as governor is traditionally an uphill battle, and, although he's currently popular in a George-Bush-after-9/11-rally-around-the-flag way, once there's some distance from the current crisis, his handling of it would be impossible to defend from any scrutiny. Of course, this is assuming his record gets any scrutiny, which isn't especially likely.

[NewYorkExpress]

Cuomo probably loses reelection in either 2022 or 2026 (either in the primary or general election)

The most likely successor,at least to me are Leticia James (She's a Cuomo ally, if Cuomo decides to retire anytime soon, I expect she'll run), Kathleen Rice, Tom Suozzi and the one realistic Republican candidate right now, Elise Stefanik (if she runs, she'd probably give Cuomo a scare,if not win in a Biden midterm)

[Sir Mohamed]

Cuomo probably loses reelection in either 2022 or 2026 (either in the primary or general election)

The most likely successor,at least to me are Leticia James (She's a Cuomo ally, if Cuomo decides to retire anytime soon, I expect she'll run), Kathleen Rice, Tom Suozzi and the one realistic Republican candidate right now, Elise Stefanik (if she runs, she'd probably give Cuomo a scare,if not win in a Biden midterm)

LOL, Cuomo isn't losing a GE. Not even close. If there is any chance to retire him against his wish, it's a minor chance in a primary. I don't even see that, unless there is a major scandal.

[NewYorkExpress]

Cuomo probably loses reelection in either 2022 or 2026 (either in the primary or general election)

The most likely successor,at least to me are Leticia James (She's a Cuomo ally, if Cuomo decides to retire anytime soon, I expect she'll run), Kathleen Rice, Tom Suozzi and the one realistic Republican candidate right now, Elise Stefanik (if she runs, she'd probably give Cuomo a scare,if not win in a Biden midterm)

LOL, Cuomo isn't losing a GE. Not even close. If there is any chance to retire him against his wish, it's a minor chance in a primary. I don't even see that, unless there is a major scandal.

No one thought Mario Cuomo would lose in 1994 either.

Stefanik has the profile (Moderate Upstate Republican) to be a threat to Cuomo if she runs in 2022.

That said, Cuomo's biggest problem will be the Democratic Primary. He's going to get a tougher challenge than Zephyr Teachout or Cynthia Nixon (especially Cynthia Nixon) at some point (maybe in 2022.)

It's also possible Cuomo's appointed to something in the Biden Administration (Secretary of Homeland Security and Attorney General both seem plausible to me.), which would leave Kathy Hochul as Governor...and there's a non-zero chance he gets elected President in 2024 as well (I think Biden will only serve one term if he wins)

[Sir Mohamed]

Cuomo probably loses reelection in either 2022 or 2026 (either in the primary or general election)

The most likely successor,at least to me are Leticia James (She's a Cuomo ally, if Cuomo decides to retire anytime soon, I expect she'll run), Kathleen Rice, Tom Suozzi and the one realistic Republican candidate right now, Elise Stefanik (if she runs, she'd probably give Cuomo a scare,if not win in a Biden midterm)

LOL, Cuomo isn't losing a GE. Not even close. If there is any chance to retire him against his wish, it's a minor chance in a primary. I don't even see that, unless there is a major scandal.

No one thought Mario Cuomo would lose in 1994 either.

Stefanik has the profile (Moderate Upstate Republican) to be a threat to Cuomo if she runs in 2022.

That said, Cuomo's biggest problem will be the Democratic Primary. He's going to get a tougher challenge than Zephyr Teachout or Cynthia Nixon (especially Cynthia Nixon) at some point (maybe in 2022.)

It's also possible Cuomo's appointed to something in the Biden Administration (Secretary of Homeland Security and Attorney General both seem plausible to me.), which would leave Kathy Hochul as Governor...and there's a non-zero chance he gets elected President in 2024 as well (I think Biden will only serve one term if he wins)

NY from 1994 is vastly different from 2022 or 2026 and not really comparable. I just don't see how Cuomo, Hochul, James or any Dem loses a GE in the states unless we talk about a - very unrealistic - Roy Moore scenario here.

[Skill and Chance]

Strongly believe it will be Stefanik.  Whether she wins in 2022 or 2026 will depend on who is president.  She will wait for a Dem midterm.

[President Johnson]

Lmao at Stefanik having a shot at the governor's villa. She's a fake moderate who has done Trump's bidding over the past years. The New York governorship is gone for Republicans for the next cycles. Andrew Cuomo will once again destroy anyone they put up against him in 2022. In 2014 and 2018, there wasn't even a Republican primary since none but one candidate wanted to run. Even in California, there were at least two competing for general election spot.

If Cuomo joins a Biden Administration (which I'm hoping for) or is elected president, I feel confident Kathy Hochul would improve in Upstate New York. She's from Buffalo and did pretty well there in the primary. It seems a reason for Cuomo underperforming Gillibrand and Schumer in Upstate are gun rights. Hochul has been moderate on guns. If she ran in her own right, she'd probably crack 60% in a statewide election against a generic Republican.

[Suburbia]

Cuomo probably loses reelection in either 2022 or 2026 (either in the primary or general election)

The most likely successor,at least to me are Leticia James (She's a Cuomo ally, if Cuomo decides to retire anytime soon, I expect she'll run), Kathleen Rice, Tom Suozzi and the one realistic Republican candidate right now, Elise Stefanik (if she runs, she'd probably give Cuomo a scare,if not win in a Biden midterm)

LOL, Cuomo isn't losing a GE. Not even close. If there is any chance to retire him against his wish, it's a minor chance in a primary. I don't even see that, unless there is a major scandal.

No one thought Mario Cuomo would lose in 1994 either.

Stefanik has the profile (Moderate Upstate Republican) to be a threat to Cuomo if she runs in 2022.

That said, Cuomo's biggest problem will be the Democratic Primary. He's going to get a tougher challenge than Zephyr Teachout or Cynthia Nixon (especially Cynthia Nixon) at some point (maybe in 2022.)

It's also possible Cuomo's appointed to something in the Biden Administration (Secretary of Homeland Security and Attorney General both seem plausible to me.), which would leave Kathy Hochul as Governor...and there's a non-zero chance he gets elected President in 2024 as well (I think Biden will only serve one term if he wins)

NY from 1994 is vastly different from 2022 or 2026 and not really comparable. I just don't see how Cuomo, Hochul, James or any Dem loses a GE in the states unless we talk about a - very unrealistic - Roy Moore scenario here.

A Republican with suburban appeal and a law and order profile can win, like LiPetri or someone like that.

[Lechasseur]

My guess is the Democrats will hold the Governor's Mansion until at least the 2030s.

I don't see how the GOP win anytime soon.

[Orwell]

Cuomo probably loses reelection in either 2022 or 2026 (either in the primary or general election)

The most likely successor,at least to me are Leticia James (She's a Cuomo ally, if Cuomo decides to retire anytime soon, I expect she'll run), Kathleen Rice, Tom Suozzi and the one realistic Republican candidate right now, Elise Stefanik (if she runs, she'd probably give Cuomo a scare,if not win in a Biden midterm)

LOL, Cuomo isn't losing a GE. Not even close. If there is any chance to retire him against his wish, it's a minor chance in a primary. I don't even see that, unless there is a major scandal.

No one thought Mario Cuomo would lose in 1994 either.

Stefanik has the profile (Moderate Upstate Republican) to be a threat to Cuomo if she runs in 2022.

That said, Cuomo's biggest problem will be the Democratic Primary. He's going to get a tougher challenge than Zephyr Teachout or Cynthia Nixon (especially Cynthia Nixon) at some point (maybe in 2022.)

It's also possible Cuomo's appointed to something in the Biden Administration (Secretary of Homeland Security and Attorney General both seem plausible to me.), which would leave Kathy Hochul as Governor...and there's a non-zero chance he gets elected President in 2024 as well (I think Biden will only serve one term if he wins)

NY from 1994 is vastly different from 2022 or 2026 and not really comparable. I just don't see how Cuomo, Hochul, James or any Dem loses a GE in the states unless we talk about a - very unrealistic - Roy Moore scenario here.

A Republican with suburban appeal and a law and order profile can win, like LiPetri or someone like that.

Andrew Cuomo is in a much stronger position as the de facto Supreme Leader of the New York Democratic Party, he has eliminated practically all opposition within the Democratic party in the state and see no reason he doesn't win in 2022 easily and if he wanted to again in 2026.