If George Allen won the 2006 VA race, Would he have won in 2012?

[538Electoral]

If Allen won by less than 1% in 2006, I'd be able to imagine that Obama's coattails would allow a Democrat to beat an incumbent Allen in 2012.

If Allen won by a few points, I'd say he probably holds on (narrowly) in 2012 and I don't think he would've run in 2018 and the Democrats win by 8 points.

[538Electoral]

I would say he would be possibly the Republican nominee in 2008 or 2012

He probably loses by more than Romney

Actually, if Allen's in the race & cuts into Huckabee's vote total, then his presence can probably propel Romney to victory in Iowa. So, in this scenario, perhaps it's Romney who gets the nomination.

Oh I meant if he was the nominee in 2012 compared to how Romney did in 2012

I honestly think VA and FL would've flipped with Allen as the nominee. Still loses but does better with 248 electoral votes.