Predict Arizona's Margin
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Poll
Question: Predict Arizona's Margin for President in 2020
#1
Biden +8 or more
#2
Biden +7
#3
Biden +6
#4
Biden +5
#5
Biden +4
#6
Biden +3
#7
Biden +2
#8
Biden +1
#9
Biden +0
#10
Trump +0
#11
Trump +1
#12
Trump +2
#13
Trump +3
#14
Trump +4
#15
Trump +5
#16
Trump +6
#17
Trump +7
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Partisan results

Author Topic: Predict Arizona's Margin  (Read 2366 times)
Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #25 on: April 12, 2020, 04:46:34 AM »
Biden+2 (49/47 for Biden)
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Amanda Huggenkiss
amanda dermichknutscht
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« Reply #26 on: April 12, 2020, 04:49:26 AM »
Biden will win by a hair. I can see Arizona as the last state being called.
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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #27 on: April 12, 2020, 04:51:07 AM »
Quote from: amanda dermichknutscht on April 12, 2020, 04:49:26 AM
Biden will win by a hair. I can see Arizona as the last state being called.

Especially considering how slow they are at counting votes
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creepie crazy Raccoon
jamespol
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« Reply #28 on: April 12, 2020, 09:01:17 AM »
Biden by 1.3 and Kelly by 6.4 as of right now.

Maricopa County will lose its status as the largest county by population to vote GOP for President. Though it will continue to be more GOP friendly compared to its other mega population counter parts.

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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #29 on: April 12, 2020, 06:06:29 PM »
Biden+2 or Trump+2.
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Lakigigar
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« Reply #30 on: April 25, 2020, 01:45:23 PM »
I think Trump by less than 1. It could go either way, but it's part of Trump's narrow path to 270, although he could still win PA or MI in an upset.
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #31 on: April 25, 2020, 01:47:27 PM »
Biden plus 3, unless McSally makes a miraculous recovery, Kelly will help Biden win AZ
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ShamDam
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« Reply #32 on: April 28, 2020, 03:07:34 PM »
Quote from: Cyrusman on April 11, 2020, 08:06:57 PM
It’s crazy that literally no one is giving trump a chance to win a state he won by 4 points last night. Like literally no one. It’s one thing to say it will be competitive and has trended left but reading the replies on this forum about AZ one would think it’s a safe D state that voted Democrat four years ago.

This is a classic Atlas case where the contrarian take becomes so popular that it's conventional wisdom
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #33 on: April 28, 2020, 10:13:12 PM »
Biden +0.3, about the same as Trump's lead in Michigan in 2016. Could be a tad higher or lower though.
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Camaro33
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« Reply #34 on: April 29, 2020, 10:54:44 AM »
Trump  + 0-1. Presidentially there won't be as big of a swing as the midterms. Pure tossup to tilt trump.
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Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #35 on: April 29, 2020, 09:13:15 PM »
« Edited: April 29, 2020, 09:17:26 PM by Monstro »
Quote from: Cyrusman on April 11, 2020, 08:06:57 PM
It’s crazy that literally no one is giving trump a chance to win a state he won by 4 points last night. Like literally no one. It’s one thing to say it will be competitive and has trended left but reading the replies on this forum about AZ one would think it’s a safe D state that voted Democrat four years ago.

Biden winning by under 4% =safe D?

Either way, I've got some 2008 threads on Virginia to show you
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