What did the 1992 polling map look like at Perot's height?
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  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  What did the 1992 polling map look like at Perot's height?
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Author Topic: What did the 1992 polling map look like at Perot's height?  (Read 884 times)
CookieDamage
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Junior Chimp
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« on: April 02, 2020, 09:18:55 PM »

In the early summer, Perot actually led both Clinton and Bush in the polls, albeit with under 40%. If there was a map of where he led, where Bush led, and where Clinton led, what would it look like? I could imagine states like AR, MD, and MA going for Clinton while maybe MT went for Perot and VA going to Bush, but what about the other states?
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Computer89
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« Reply #1 on: April 05, 2020, 04:33:21 PM »

I think he led polls in California and Texas too
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #2 on: April 05, 2020, 05:50:53 PM »

I know a newspaper in June 1992 reported that Clinton only led in Arkansas and Washington DC.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #3 on: April 06, 2020, 02:58:35 PM »

Here’s a story from May 7th, that mentions these polls:

https://www.nytimes.com/1992/05/07/us/the-1992-campaign-perot-ahead-of-bush-and-clinton-in-2-polls.html

California (poll conducted April 30 - May 4):
Perot 38%
Bush 32%
Clinton 20%

Colorado (poll conducted April 24-May 3):
Perot 35%
Bush 30%
Clinton 16%

Then here’s a California poll conducted May 16-19:

https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1992-05-21-mn-330-story.html

Perot 39%
Clinton 26%
Bush 25%

Texas poll from April (conducted April 9-18):

link

Perot 35%
Bush 30%
Clinton 20%
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #4 on: April 06, 2020, 03:02:26 PM »

Also, there was some talk at the time that Perot might *help* Clinton in some of the black-heavy states in the South, since a larger share of white voters in the South would peel away to Perot than would black voters, who'd presumably stick with Clinton....thus creating an outside chance of Clinton getting a plurality victory in some Southern states that would otherwise be difficult for a Democrat to win.
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darklordoftech
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« Reply #5 on: April 06, 2020, 03:09:59 PM »

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