New York (Siena): Biden +25
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  New York (Siena): Biden +25
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Author Topic: New York (Siena): Biden +25  (Read 1337 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: March 30, 2020, 06:07:09 AM »

Biden 58%
Trump 33%

https://www.scribd.com/document/453917717/SNY0320-Crosstabs#from_embed

Hillary Clinton won NY by 22% in 2016, 59-37.
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Sir Mohamed 🇺🇸 🇺🇦
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« Reply #1 on: March 30, 2020, 09:02:36 AM »

Safe D, nothing to see here.

The only question is whether Biden gets moe than 60% or below.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #2 on: March 30, 2020, 11:25:46 AM »
« Edited: March 30, 2020, 12:01:40 PM by #Bidemings2020 »

Siena had Biden beating Trump in NY by 19 last month, so this is a pretty big jump in favor of Joe... it also has him winning upstate.
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Skye
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« Reply #3 on: March 30, 2020, 12:00:56 PM »

Something that strikes me as odd here is, Trump is getting 40% of the Jewish vote.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #4 on: March 30, 2020, 12:02:43 PM »

Something that strikes me as odd here is, Trump is getting 40% of the Jewish vote.

I think thatís mainly just because the orthodox vote is very Republican and NY has a high Orthodox Jew population.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #5 on: March 30, 2020, 12:04:02 PM »

Biden could easily clear 60 with these numbers in NY. If he does, that'll be really helpful to Delgado and Rose in trying to get reelected, or whatever's going on in the seat that King's vacating.

(Is Brindisi beyond help and assumed done for?)
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #6 on: March 30, 2020, 12:05:34 PM »

Biden could easily clear 60 with these numbers in NY. If he does, that'll be really helpful to Delgado and Rose in trying to get reelected, or whatever's going on in the seat that King's vacating.

(Is Brindisi beyond help and assumed done for?)

Normally, heíd be DOA, but since Tenney is likely to be the nominee, heís probably favored.
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Redban
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« Reply #7 on: March 30, 2020, 12:12:31 PM »


Within the margin of error, with a ton of undecided people.

Trump last time barely took upstate, sort of surprisingly (I think Romney, McCain, and Dubya lost upstate). And though 2016 wasn't that long ago, upstate NY is different now -- it has lost a lot of people, about 20k per year since.

New York State as a whole has 200,000 fewer people now than it did in 2016. The state is expected to lose either 1 or 2 congressional seats.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #8 on: March 30, 2020, 01:09:45 PM »

Something that strikes me as odd here is, Trump is getting 40% of the Jewish vote.

I think thatís mainly just because the orthodox vote is very Republican and NY has a high Orthodox Jew population.

lol.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: March 30, 2020, 01:10:36 PM »

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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: March 30, 2020, 01:12:01 PM »



Yes, pretty ominous for Trump's prospects in New York.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #11 on: March 30, 2020, 04:00:00 PM »

Something that strikes me as odd here is, Trump is getting 40% of the Jewish vote.

I think thatís mainly just because the orthodox vote is very Republican and NY has a high Orthodox Jew population.

lol.

What? It's true.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #12 on: April 15, 2020, 12:02:35 PM »

New Poll: New York President by Siena Research Institute on 2020-03-26

Summary: D: 58%, R: 33%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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