MI, PA, WI (Hodas, Restoration PAC) - Trump leads all except in MI
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  MI, PA, WI (Hodas, Restoration PAC) - Trump leads all except in MI
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Author Topic: MI, PA, WI (Hodas, Restoration PAC) - Trump leads all except in MI  (Read 1855 times)
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« on: March 27, 2020, 02:19:43 PM »

Note that this is a partisan poll.

MI
Trump - 44
Biden - 50 (+6)

Trump - 44
Sanders - 49 (+5)

PA
Trump - 47 (+2)
Biden - 45

Trump - 49 (+6)
Sanders - 43

WI
Trump - 49 (+4)
Biden - 45

Trump - 50 (+7)
Sanders - 43

600 RV, MI conducted 3/12-3/16, PA conducted 3/19-3/21, WI conducted 3/17-3/19
https://www.restorationofamerica.com/reelection_index_release

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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #1 on: March 27, 2020, 02:22:43 PM »

It has Trump at +7 approval in Wisconsin and +4 approval in Pennsylvania. In Michigan, he is underwater by 4 points. Against Biden, he underperforms his approvals in each state.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #2 on: March 27, 2020, 02:44:08 PM »

WI voting several %-points more R than MI/PA isnít surprising, but PA being significantly more Republican than MI certainly is (this is the second poll in a row to show this, but obviously Iíd take both with a grain of salt).
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #3 on: March 27, 2020, 02:47:05 PM »

WI voting several %-points more R than MI/PA isnít surprising, but PA being significantly more Republican than MI certainly is (this is the second poll in a row to show this, but obviously Iíd take both with a grain of salt).

Yeah I'm not sure I necessarily buy a four pt. victory for Trump in PA. 

Can I see Trump hanging onto it in 2020? Absolutely.  But I'd be surprised if it's more than two or three points at maximum. 
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: March 27, 2020, 02:50:04 PM »

I only trust QU and PPP polls at this point. If Trump has a bump, it wont last
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #5 on: March 27, 2020, 02:52:47 PM »

If a GOP-biased poll has Biden up by 6% in Michigan...whoo boy.
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: March 27, 2020, 02:52:58 PM »

I know the Biden supporters see this poll, but they arent responding : Bruce, Bagel and Johnson, where are you
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Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #7 on: March 27, 2020, 03:00:26 PM »

It definitely seems plausible that of the three states polled, Biden would do best in PA. That much is clear.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #8 on: March 27, 2020, 05:35:09 PM »

Biden clearly has an edge in Michigan, which is good. But the other two cannot be taken for granted as easily. Hell, Michigan probably still shouldn't be taken for granted.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #9 on: March 27, 2020, 05:45:01 PM »

I know the Biden supporters see this poll, but they arent responding : Bruce, Bagel and Johnson, where are you
What about me Sad ?
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AGA
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« Reply #10 on: March 27, 2020, 10:14:21 PM »

The margins in MI and PA seem too far apart. I would need to see more polls before accepting this.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #11 on: March 28, 2020, 04:52:17 AM »

I know the Biden supporters see this poll, but they arent responding : Bruce, Bagel and Johnson, where are you

Don't worry, this probably isn't a reliable pollster. Fox News has Uncle Joe up by nine while Trump has 48% approval. The race is still Lean Biden.
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Pollster
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« Reply #12 on: March 28, 2020, 12:32:13 PM »

I have never heard of Glenn Hodas, and a quick search reveals he doesn't have much polling experience. He seems to be an Illinois-based stratcomm consultant with much of his experience specific to the state. Not sure why a national PAC is relying on him for their polling operation.
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Intell
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« Reply #13 on: March 29, 2020, 01:00:52 AM »

Corona response to Trump would be unpopular in Michigan.
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #14 on: March 29, 2020, 03:18:15 AM »

These are partisan polls and PA numbers are R house effect, QU is usually the most accurate pollster in PA last had Biden up.

Pa numbers other than QU or PPP should not be believed
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Xing
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« Reply #15 on: March 29, 2020, 02:11:40 PM »

MI is not voting 10 points left of WI and 8 points left of PA.
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