2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: New Jersey (user search)
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  2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: New Jersey (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: New Jersey  (Read 32893 times)
Suburbia
bronz4141
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« on: November 12, 2021, 04:40:55 PM »

Most American commoners don't even know what gerrymandering is.

Democrats should not even campaign on "End Gerrymandering", the average Joe doesn't even know what the hell that means.

The political junkies and political insiders know what that is, it is too complex for the commoner to understand.


NJ Dems should go for the jugular, and ax Smith and Van Drew; Smith has been in office for 40 years without any accomplishments, Van Drew is a weasel and he could have remained a conservative Democrat from South Jersey like he was in the Legislature.

Make it a all Democratic coalition, put some parts of Vin Gopal's hometown in Smith's district and that makes it easier for a Middlesex Democrat from New Brunswick or South Amboy to replace Pallone or so.....if you add Holmdel to Pallone's district, that would make it more red.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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*****
Posts: 19,666
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 12, 2021, 06:05:42 PM »

Most American commoners don't even know what gerrymandering is.

Democrats should not even campaign on "End Gerrymandering", the average Joe doesn't even know what the hell that means.

The political junkies and political insiders know what that is, it is too complex for the commoner to understand.


NJ Dems should go for the jugular, and ax Smith and Van Drew; Smith has been in office for 40 years without any accomplishments, Van Drew is a weasel and he could have remained a conservative Democrat from South Jersey like he was in the Legislature.

Make it a all Democratic coalition, put some parts of Vin Gopal's hometown in Smith's district and that makes it easier for a Middlesex Democrat from New Brunswick or South Amboy to replace Pallone or so.....if you add Holmdel to Pallone's district, that would make it more red.

A 12-0 D map in NJ could easily become a dummymander and is impossible to draw without violating the VRA. 11-1 is a stretch and 10-2 is the best they can expect from the commission.

How would it violate the VRA when Payne Jr., Watson Coleman and Sires would have safe seats? I think Pascrell stays on til 2025, it's 30 years too late for him, he should have been governor or House Speaker years ago, he is no-nonsense and tough.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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Posts: 19,666
United States


« Reply #2 on: November 12, 2021, 07:13:53 PM »



11-1 DEM gerrymander. Every blue seat is at least Clinton +12. I did not pay attention to incumbent home locations

Who would be NJ's lone Republican? Smith? Or would Chris Smith retire and one of the Ocean County legislators run for that seat?

Would Sweeney return to politics by running for Congress or maybe some other South Jersey Democrat?
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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Posts: 19,666
United States


« Reply #3 on: December 22, 2021, 03:28:58 PM »

Can Kean win in a district that contains Linden and Rahway? They are not Republican-friendly...

And Sherill gets another term because Maplewood and South Orange is added there...

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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #4 on: December 22, 2021, 10:13:13 PM »

Chris Smith should retire.

I see now why these congressmembers are millionaires. They save up money to move from place to place when they get redistricted out of their hometowns.

Congressmembers shouldn't be rich. How much homes do they have? I wonder if they rent or own homes?
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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Posts: 19,666
United States


« Reply #5 on: December 23, 2021, 12:46:42 AM »

Monmouth Democrats want Abigail Spanberger to come home to New Jersey to run against Chris Smith!!

https://newjerseyglobe.com/congress/monmouth-democratic-leader-recruiting-virginia-congresswoman-to-challenge-chris-smith/

Can she beat Smith in a 2022 campaign? She'd be called a carpetbagger.

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